In the world of artificial intelligence, most headlines still ask when AGI will arrive. But a quieter signal may already be flashing in the background - not green for go, not red for stop, but yellow. The moment between. The one that says: pay attention.
Dr. Alan D. Thompson, known for his research into intelligence, giftedness, and AI forecasting, has been documenting our approach to artificial superintelligence (ASI) through a framework he calls the ASI Checklist. It's a list of 50 milestones broken into three phases: early ASI emergence, governance & economic transformation, and physical world integration.
For a long time, the checklist sat quietly, all grey boxes. Nothing had crossed the threshold.Until now.
In his May 28, 2025 update to The Memo, Thompson changed the status of several boxes from grey to yellow - meaning they are now in progress.
And what those boxes represent should give us pause:
#2: Code generation by AI systems (Claude-written agent code, 80–90%)
#6: AI-written scientific paper accepted for peer review
#7, #8, #9: AI-invented materials, including a new coolant, new element, and a novel compound
#28 & #29: A government (UAE) actively using AI to help legislate and interpret laws
These aren't hypotheticals. They're logged, sourced, and happening.
Read: https://medium.com/@jp180j/before-the...
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