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Financial Update: Where Asset Prices Are Going
Asset Price Rises Explained
This Is Where I See The Housing And Stock Market Going Right Now

I'm seeing day in and day out now everyone talking about a stock market crash in April including 1x 50% drop prediction. And I'm here to say today. I don't think that there will be a stock market crash in April, in fact I think it's a lot more likely that we will see an all time high in the stock market in April.

However, there is a caveat to this! & I’ll explain what that is shortly

Now you might be asking wait what?! Neil haven't you seen the job losses, haven't you seen the number of homeless people on the streets in Los Angeles, haven't you seen the number of people with rent or mortgage moratoriums… what about the debt-to-gdp ratio, will the price per earnings ratio of the stock market…

Right now, none of these things make any difference to what I’m about to share with you. Because by approximately June/July of this year, if my forecast is correct, we’re going to be seeing more than a trillion dollars of NEW liquidity in the commercial Banks throughout the USA. If you want me to be more specific, then closer to $1.4 trillion. Oh, and did I mention the commercial Banks now have a 0% reserve requirement too! Yes, 100% True.

If you’re an investor, this is obviously great for you! But if you’re an every day person concerned about your weekly grocery bill cost, then what’s coming isn’t going to be good.

Another thing a lot of experts are saying at the moment, is that the $1.9T stimulus that just passed is going to go directly into the hands of the people - desperately needed relief their calling it, but this isn’t true… most of the money isn’t going to the people at all!

Just do the math: 330M people in the USA x $1,400 = $462B - so where did the other $1.4T go?

The reason I’m not talking about timing on any of these things is because no economist can control the biggest variable here which is the government fiscal policy and the Federal Reserve monetary policy.

Now coming back to the caveat I mentioned at the start, I'm not saying that there won't be a stock market crash. What I'm saying is that we have so much liquidity floating around, that it has to go somewhere. And my best guess would be that it will go into the stock market and the housing market because banks will keep trying to incentivise homeowners to refinance and buy new homes.

But even if the stock market did crash, I think what we could see a repeat of what happened last February March 2020 when the stock market dropped and then went back up again.

If your stock, housing or crypto investor, I would expect all of these markets to continue coming up until the summer time at least.

No crash until they stop the stimulus!

Money flowing back into the commercial banks & they need to do something worth the money so they loan it back out again, pushing up prices even higher!

So why is it different this time? The main reason is because in the 2008 crisis all of the new money via quantitative easing went straight to bailing out the banks and corporations. But this time around the money is going into the hands or the pockets of people first, then it makes its way to the banks. This is the key distinction that a lot of experts are missing

Don’t believe the Fed lies, where they say that they won’t raise interest rates for years to come. I’m not saying that they are going to raise interest rates, what I’m saying is that if inflation runs out of control, they will have no choice but to raise interest rates thereby going back on their word not to raise rates for a few years

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