Скачать или смотреть NFL DFS Week 6 Bias Check | Matt Prich

This week’s Bias Check dives into why the chaos of the NFL isn’t as random as it feels — and how understanding our own mental shortcuts can help us make sharper DFS decisions.

We look at:
• Why three top teams losing in one week isn’t actually that improbable
• How status quo and clustering illusions distort our thinking
• The dangers of assuming “chalk always hits”
• How recency, narrative, and negativity bias shape Week 6 matchups
• The novelty bias surrounding Joe Flacco and what it means for Ja’Marr Chase
• Why Chargers vs. Dolphins might be the sneaky shootout of the week
• How to use late swap and weather plans to gain an edge

Play it at 1.5x speed, recognize your biases, and build smarter lineups this Sunday.

📈 Free player grids this week from JM, Mike, Poppy, and Sonic on One Week Season.

⸻

#NFLDFS #OneWeekSeason #FantasyFootball #DFSStrategy #Week6 #DailyFantasy #BiasCheck #NFLPicks #DraftKings #FanDuel #DFSLineups

⸻

0:00 – Intro & what’s free on OWS this week
1:30 – Chaos, clustering illusion, and why top teams lose
4:00 – Probability neglect and why chalk hitting isn’t sustainable
7:00 – The danger of pattern-seeking in DFS
10:00 – Lineup construction and correlated chalk
13:00 – Reviewing Week 5 lessons (Seattle–Tampa Bay game)
16:30 – Week 6 biases: recency, narrative, negativity
19:20 – New England–New Orleans breakdown
22:00 – Arizona’s negativity bias and coaching concerns
25:00 – “Team Jam” chalk talk: CMC, Puka, Taylor
26:10 – Joe Flacco novelty bias and Ja’Marr Chase outlook
30:10 – Chargers–Dolphins: the Bias Check Game of the Week
35:30 – Weather, late swap, and omission bias
40:35 – Wrap-up & final thoughts