Brad Jacobs is venturing into building materials distribution with a new firm branded QXO. His initial forecast is $1B in revenue in Year 1 and at least $5B within three years. How, you may ask, does he plan to do that? Well, he wrote on book on it, humbly titled, How to Make a Few Billion Dollars, which I would absolutely recommend to a friend.
Upon hearing the news, Jon Vaughan and Bradley Hartmann dropped what they were doing and bought the book, listened to eight hours of past Brad Jacobs podcasts, and spoke to leaders in the freight industry who knew Brad back in 2011 when he ventured into that industry.
Then Jon and Bradley got together to talk about what they learned, what they think will happen, and what you need to know.
Below is an edited transcript of QXOs announcement:
After a comprehensive year-long search, Brad Jacobs announced his intention to create a market leader in building products distribution — an industry with approximately $800 billion in annual revenue between North America and Europe. The company will be called QXO, Inc. On December 3, 2023, Jacobs Private Equity entered into an investment agreement with SilverSun Technologies, Inc. (Nasdaq: SSNT) in which they will invest $1 billion in cash. Upon the closing of the equity investment, SilverSun will be renamed QXO. JPE will become QXO’s majority stockholder, and Jacobs will become the company’s chairman and chief executive officer. QXO will become a standalone platform for Jacobs’ new venture following the spin off of the existing business to SilverSun stockholders.
QXO's StrategyQXO plans to create a tech-forward industry leader in the building products distribution industry through accretive M&A and organic growth, including greenfield openings, with the goal of generating outsized stockholder value. Distributors of building products offer materials, finished goods, value-added solutions and expertise to a broad range of customers across residential, nonresidential, industrial and infrastructure end-markets. Their products are used extensively in new construction and in repair and remodeling. Key categories include access control, construction supplies, doors and windows, electrical components, fencing and decking, HVAC, infrastructure, landscaping, lumber, plumbing, pools, roofing, siding and water, among others. QXO expects to achieve a revenue run-rate of at least $1 billion by the end of year one, at least $5 billion within three years, and tens of billions of dollars over the next decade. QXO’s scale should elevate the customer experience, increase sales force effectiveness, and enable margin expansion. The industry’s nascent use of technology, particularly AI and B2B e-commerce, represents a compelling opportunity for tech-focused entrants. According to industry data, the percentage of industry revenue derived from e-commerce is currently only mid-single digits, and this share is expected to triple by 2030. Additional types of tech adoption by distributors have the potential to be transformative through price optimization, demand forecasting, warehouse automation and robotics, automated inventory management, route optimization for delivery fleets, supply chain visibility, and end-to-end digital customer connectivity. QXO’s strategy anticipates that these drivers, among others, will be central to the company’s goal of outsized stockholder value creation.
The Market OpportunityThe building products distribution industry is highly fragmented, with approximately 7,000 distributors in North America and 13,000 in Europe, according to industry observers. The industry has generated compound annual revenue growth of 7% over the last five years, based on industry data, and continues to benefit from powerful secular growth drivers for building products distribution in the residential, nonresidential and infrastructure sectors. For example, industry reports estimate that the current supply of US homes is 3 million units short of demand, potentially creating long-term tailwinds for both new construction and the repair and remodeling of aging homes. In the nonresidential sector, long-term demand is expected to be driven by growth across multiple industrial and commercial verticals, according to industry sources. Infrastructure should benefit from the widely reported need for repair or replacement of America's public transportation, utility and communication systems, among others. These market dynamics, together with the fragmented nature of the industry, offer a significant opportunity to unlock growth potential through scale and technology. National distributors can serve large customers across multiple geographies and project types with standardized efficiencies, providing consistent, data-driven customer services across a broad operating scope. Additionally, a scaled technology ecosystem can expand the array of value-added services offered to customers, such as...
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