Скачать или смотреть Will Rate Cuts Save the Global Economy in 2025? | Fed, ECB, and Global Growth Outlook

Global economy 2025 faces slowdown as IMF projects 2.9% growth; central banks from the Federal Reserve to ECB turn to interest rate cuts, testing monetary policy against inflation and rising debt.


Central banks from Washington to Frankfurt to Seoul are cutting rates. But the critical question remains: will interest rate cuts save the global economy—or simply delay a deeper reckoning? This analysis examines the Federal Reserve, ECB, Bank of Korea, and emerging markets, exploring whether monetary policy alone can avert stagnation. Historical lessons from 2001, 2008, and 2020 remind us: rate cuts are necessary, but never sufficient.

#GlobalEconomy #InterestRates #FederalReserve #ECB #MonetaryPolicy #IMF #EconomicOutlook2025

📌 Timestamps

00:00 – Global economy slowdown begins
00:11 – Interest rate cuts: the tool of choice
00:24 – Key question: can cuts save the global economy?
00:37 – IMF growth forecast: 2.9% in 2025 (stall speed)
01:05 – U.S. contraction and sticky inflation
01:39 – ECB’s first pivot to easing (June 2025)
02:15 – Asia’s mixed picture: Korea, China, India
02:43 – Emerging markets: Brazil and India easing
02:56 – Limits of rate cuts: real rates still high
03:34 – Transmission lags: effects take 6–12 months
04:08 – Global debt-to-GDP at 240%
04:34 – Fragmented inflation challenges
04:58 – Historical lessons: 2001, 2008, 2020
05:40 – Beyond rate cuts: fiscal support and reforms
06:42 – Emerging markets and debt sustainability
07:05 – Critical juncture: rate cuts help, but not enough
07:27 – Conclusion: buying time, not miracles

✅ Key Topics Covered

Federal Reserve and core PCE inflation (2.7% in May 2025)

ECB’s June 2025 rate cut to 3.75%

Bank of Korea trimming to 2.5%

India repo rate at 6%, Brazil easing ahead

Global debt at 240% of GDP

IMF & World Bank roles in preventing defaults

🌍 Sources Referenced

IMF World Economic Outlook 2025

European Central Bank statements

Federal Reserve economic projections

World Bank Global Economic Prospects

BIS debt statistics

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