Скачать или смотреть AI Boom, Tech Strains and Safe Havens | Risk Sentiment Daily 2026-01-26

This daily market update looks at how a powerful AI-driven growth cycle, broadening earnings strength, and supportive credit conditions are shaping cross-asset outlook and portfolio management today. We also examine where stretched valuations, tech-sector fragility, and geopolitical and yield risks are tempering risk appetite.

We break down the key forces behind the cautiously risk-on tone in equities and multi-asset investing, from value and small-cap rotation to record demand for high-grade credit and emerging markets. At the same time, we highlight the rising importance of safe-haven flows, elevated bond yields, and a mature bull market backdrop.

Key takeaways:
AI-driven productivity and capex are supporting robust growth and earnings expectations.
Equity leadership is rotating toward value, cyclicals, small caps, emerging markets, and defense.
Credit spreads remain tight even amid record issuance, with moderate Fed easing still expected.
US equity valuations look stretched in a mature bull market, increasing downside asymmetry.
Tech-led drawdowns, AI earnings risk, and geopolitical tensions are feeding demand for gold and other havens.
Cross-asset correlations and yield volatility point to more complex portfolio risk dynamics.

This video is for information only and is not investment advice.

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Chapters:
00:00 Today’s risk sentiment and key risk drivers
00:26 Overall risk sentiment: cautiously risk-on
01:44 AI-driven growth and productivity boom
03:03 Broadening earnings strength and sector rotation
04:24 Supportive credit and moderate Fed easing hopes
05:32 Stretched valuations and mature bull market
06:44 Tech-led drawdown and AI earnings risk
08:13 Geopolitics, yields and safe-haven stresses
09:41 Key Takeaways