Wondering about SNOW in the mountains this season? La Niña, an OPTIMISTIC report from the Powder Poobah, meteorologist in the Pacific Northwest. Listen or read his notes here.
La Niña is good for PNW. It typically brings near-above normal snowfall for the NW and that’s basically from a line in Oregon, Bachelor, Hood, up thru WA. All the local areas White Pass, Crystal, Summit and Mt Baker, and East of the mountains. The inland NW does very well, places like 49 Degrees North, Sandpoint, Silver Mountain and up through BC, also into Montana and much of N. Idaho. So the NW doesn't just mean Western WA. It means really good snow through much of the NW, including Whistler and parts east into Montana and S. Idaho. It does not mean such great news for much of the rest of the country.
The climate prediction center already including above normal precipitation, sort of from N. Oregon through N. Idaho into Montana, parts of Wyoming. There's equal chances down in California, and below normal through parts of S. California, Arizona, New Mexico, Southern Colorado. As usual, we can always expect some mild periods, so it doesn't mean that we're going to have cold and snowy all winter.
Here's another thing. We never know exactly how the snow will come in. Sometimes November and December are quite robust. Sometimes a slow start, but at the end of the season, La Niña almost always means above normal snow pack, at least near to above normal.
The La Niña in 2017-18, we saw 100 to 125 percent of normal snowfall for WA, parts of OR, and even higher through parts of Montana. This leads me to the fact that we have above normal confidence for a snowy winter for the NW. Generally, in September and certainly October, this La Niña watch firms up, and they'll go for a full-on La Niña, but it isn't happening yet. You can see in my video, the storm track goes through the NW with what are the normal conditions from N. California through parts of BC. It’s colder up through Northern BC and drier down through the SW.
So, it all adds up to a pretty optimistic ski season. I have a real high confidence in this forecast."
Updates here:
https://powderpoobah.com/
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