Seriously WG? I really don't like making these videos, I'd prefer to talk about this game I enjoy playing, how the new ships play & if they are worth getting. Unfortunately I can't really do that today with the new Lunar Treasures event, the only way to get these new ships is through loot boxes. It feels like a return to the start of 2025, WG have reverted back to old habits the instant 10th anniversary was over.
This may be worse than even D7P for $500+ or zf-6 for $1k+ to guarantee. If my math is right (correct me below) it will take 125 boxes (on average) to get drop of one of these new ships. With a pool of 6 that is 750 boxes to guarantee the 1 you want! And that's just average what if you get unlucky?
My Notes:
Lunar Treasures Loot Boxes:
Notes:
Simplifying calculations a bit
Only looking at average not worst case
not counting pity drop (wg didn't tell me)
not counting extra 'Nian's Treasure' containers after obtaining all ships from 'Defenders of Order/Adherents of Chaos' containers
This is really meant to give a ball park of this events cost.
Let me know if my math is incorrect as I don't want to put out false information.
Defenders of Order/Adherents of Chaos
10% chance of 'Nian's Treasure' container
Nian's Treasure
8% chance of: Taihang, Schroder, Atlantico, Yimeng (new), Messina (new), Independencia (new)
Only way to get these new ships :(
Average Result:
(First Layer Loot Box Chance) x (Second Layer Loot Box Chance)
(0.1) x (0.08) = 0.008
(1) / (0.008) = 125
8% chance to get a 'Nian's Treasure' ship to drop per 'Defenders of Order/Adherents of Chaos' Loot Box
125 containers (on average) to get any 1 of the 6 'Nian's Treasure' ships
What if you only want a specific ship?
Average Result:
(First Layer Loot Box Chance) x (Second Layer Loot Box Chance / 6 items)
(0.1) x (0.08 / 6)
(0.1) x (0.01333) = 0.001333
(1) / (0.001333) = 750(approx.)
0.1333% chance to get a specific 'Nian's Treasure' ship to drop per 'Defenders of Order/Adherents of Chaos' Loot Box
750 containers (on average) to get a specific 'Nian's Treasure' ship
Cost:
Defenders of Order/Adherents of Chaos
1 = $2 or 500 doubloons
20 = $36 or 9,000 doubloons
100 = $160 or 40,000 doubloons
($160) x (1.25) = $200 or 50k doubloons (on average) for any 1 of the 'Nian's Treasure' ships
($160) x (7.5) = $1,200 or 300k doubloons (on average) for a specific 'Nian's Treasure' ship
Again please let me know if any of my math is wrong. I really don't want to spread misinformation here. Although the video will go live while I'm still asleep so it may be a few hours before I can add corrections.
Chapters:
0:00 - New Event Pricing Is NOT OK
12:52 - First Impressions Yimeng
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