In this episode of The Awaara Musaafir Show, host Jayesh Gangan speaks with Lt Col JS Sodhi (Retd), Army Veteran & Author, about his book, "China's War Clouds: The Great Chinese Checkmate". This podcast is essential for understanding China's long-term vision, history, and global implications, especially for India.
Lt. Col. Sodhi explains his book's title, highlighting China's strategic "checkmate" since 1949. He forecasts future conflicts based on "Six Wars China Will Fight in the Next 50 Years," including with Taiwan (2027), Spratly Islands (2029), and a two-front war with Pakistan against India (2035) during Xi Jinping's tenure. The episode also examines Xi Jinping's unchallenged authority and the PLA's political alignment.
The conversation transitions to Mao Zedong's era, emphasizing geography's role and the 1949 Chinese Civil War's aftermath. It covers the devastating "Great Leap Forward" and "Great Famine," and the "Cultural Revolution," including the Red Army's rise. A surprising revelation about Lin Biao's attempted assassination is also shared.
The podcast then shifts to China's foreign relations under Mao, particularly with India, leading to the 1962 India-China War. Lt. Col. Sodhi explains China's aggression post-1959, triggered by India's border stance and Dalai Lama's asylum. He analyzes India's defeat, citing lack of political will, non-use of air force, and incompetent leadership. The strategic importance of Aksai Chin and Tibet to China is discussed, along with Mao Zedong's expansionist "Palm and Five Fingers" policy. America's inaction during China's annexation of Xinjiang and Tibet is also highlighted.
Lt. Col. Sodhi addresses Xi Jinping's ambition to surpass Mao, potentially through Taiwan's annexation. Deng Xiaoping's era is explored, highlighting economic reforms that built China's modern military. The episode also discusses the "Gang of Four" and Deng's handling of them. Furthermore, insights into India's economic dependency on China are provided, noting India's AIIB participation despite its stance against BRI.
Finally, Lt. Col. Sodhi elaborates on modern warfare's evolving nature, including China's "Full Spectrum Warfare Doctrine" (Multi-Domain Operations). He explains the six domains: Cyber, Electromagnetic Spectrum, Space, Land, Air, and Water. Compelling examples include Hamas's 2023 jamming of Israeli defense forces' electromagnetic spectrum, attributed to China, and the threats of cyber and space warfare.
Don't miss this profound conversation that promises to broaden your understanding of China's past, present, and future strategies. Please consider reading Lt. Col. J.S. Sodhi's book for deeper insight into these critical geopolitical issues.
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Chapters
00:00 - Trailer
01:49 - Intro
02:59 - Jayesh Gangan x Lt Col J.S. Sodhi
04:00 - The Great Chinese Checkmate
05:20 - When Will India vs China War Happen?
09:24 - China from Mao’s Time Till Now
22:00 - India-China Relations During Mao’s Rule
29:38 - Why Was Aksai Chin So Important to China in 1962 War?
34:31 - Why Didn’t India Understand China’s Strategy?
41:34 - Dispute Over Spratly Islands
50:31 - Is Xi Jinping Trying to Be Like Mao?
54:28 - Gang of Four in China
59:51 - China’s On-and-Off Relationship with Russia
1:04:38 - How Big Is the Threat from China to India?
1:07:48 - Why Indians Must Avoid Chinese Products
1:10:33 - Will India Take Part in China-Taiwan Conflict?
1:13:36 - Is India Too Dependent on China Economically?
1:19:06 - Can There Be a Nuclear War?
1:20:45 - How the Definition of War Is Changing
1:28:15 - Is China the World’s Biggest Enemy? How to Deal with It?
1:31:30 - Drug Smuggling Is Rising in India
1:33:32 - China Weakens Countries from Inside by Creating Dependency
1:37:19 - Sign Off
▶ About The Awaara Musaafir Show - The Awaara Musaafir Show is a highly popular podcast hosted by Jayesh Gangan, where Jayesh dives into various conversations with experts and talks about Bharat's Past, Present & the Future. The podcast has over One Crore views and releases a new episode every Wednesday & Saturday at 5 pm. The Awaara Musaafir Show covers a wide range of topics such as Bharat's Geopolitics, Economy, Military, Culture, History, and much more.
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