Скачать или смотреть Cyclone Senyar Live Updates | Detailed Analysis Report, ECMWF 15 Days Weather Cyclone + WD News

A new weather system is showing strong signals over the Bay of Bengal. According to GFS, ECMWF, and ECMWF AI model trends, a circulation or vortex is likely to enter the Andaman Sea from Thailand and the South China Sea around 20 November.
Meanwhile, the system currently over the Southwest Bay of Bengal may shift slightly eastward and reach the Southeast Bay by 21 November. Both systems may interact through a Fujiwhara effect, and by 23 November, a fresh low-pressure area may form over the South-Central and adjoining Southwest Bay of Bengal.

The ECMWF Ensemble keeps the final system over the Central Bay of Bengal, trying to take its track toward Andhra Pradesh.

ECMWF AI even shows the system intensifying into a cyclone and moving toward Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh, which could bring heavy to very heavy rainfall across parts of South India in the last week of November.
However, the exact track, intensity, and rainfall impact will become clearer within the next 5 days, as long-range forecasts can still change.

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⚠️ Disclaimer:
This video is based on model forecasts and data interpretation for educational and awareness purposes. Weather conditions may change depending on updated model runs.

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