Скачать или смотреть "I'm 101% Certain! If You Hold BTC or Crypto, Prepare For The Next 2 Months - Matt Hougan

Crypto markets are flashing a rare combination of extreme pessimism and structural uncertainty. Bitcoin and Ethereum are posting historically weak starts to the year, even as institutional participation remains elevated. The real question is whether this drawdown marks late-stage exhaustion—or the middle of a cycle still governed by psychology.
Matt Hougan, one of the world’s leading voices on crypto markets and ETFs, argues that the dominant downside risk facing digital assets remains the entrenched four-year cycle psychology. Debate continues over whether the current crypto winter began in October or as early as January, but the more consequential factor is collective expectation. If investors anchor to the historical 13-month downturn pattern and anticipate a late-year bottom, that shared narrative alone can exert downward pressure. In crypto, reflexivity often outweighs fundamentals.
Hougan notes that several perceived risks could evolve into catalysts. Concerns around quantum computing have prompted growing engagement from developers, with discussions and mitigation roadmaps potentially reinforcing network resilience rather than undermining it. At the same time, shifts in rate policy and global liquidity conditions could surprise to the upside, easing macro headwinds that have weighed on risk assets.
Institutional adoption has been substantial, marked by significant ETF inflows and corporate allocations into Bitcoin. Yet selling from long-term holders has exceeded those inflows, reaffirming the behavioral supply dynamics that continue to define the asset class. Sentiment indicators have reached extreme pessimism, suggesting exhaustion may be building.
Market performance underscores the pressure. Bitcoin is down roughly 24% year-to-date near $67,000, while Ethereum has fallen about 34% to $2,000—among the weakest annual openings on record. Whether $100,000 becomes resistance or a launchpad will hinge on liquidity, policy clarity, and broader risk appetite.



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Milk Road
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This is not to be considered investment advice. You should always speak to a licensed financial adviser before making any investment decision.

All statements in this Video, other than historical facts, are forward-looking statements. These may include expectations about Bitcoin's future value and adoption rate; Gold's future value; Silver's future value; US deficit projections; currency values; cryptocurrency adoption rates; money supply projections; future energy demand; future inflation rates; mining stocks' future value; future market trends; and other future events. Such statements are speculative, based on assumptions that may prove inaccurate, and subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially.

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