Скачать или смотреть 118. Teddy Seidenfeld | Decision and Statistics

Ted Seidenfeld is Herbert A. Simon University Professor of Philosophy and Statistics at Carnegie Mellon University, and his work focuses on decision theory, statistics, and related topics.

My links: https://link.space/@Friction.

00:00 - Introduction
01:18 - Is ignorance bliss?
11:55 - Cost-free information
16:55 - Sample case
20:00 - Moral hazard
27:53 - Newcomb's problem
38:58 - Dominance argument
44:40 - Deliberation and prediction
49:05 - Causalist rejoinder
51:05 - Variation
56:00 - Paying to avoid cost-free information
59:52 - Simpson's paradox
1:08:30 - Group decisions
1:23:31 - Imprecise preferences
1:25:54 - Imprecise credences
1:28:25 - Other models
1:39:34 - Causal bayesian networks
1:44:22 - What does caustion add
1:49:30 - Relevance
1:52:00 - Backward intervention
1:54:35 - Application to groups
2:00:00 - Sleeping beauty problem
2:10:35 - Thirder argument
2:14:45 - Halfer solution
2:16:28 - Ambiguity of ''now''
2:18:33 - Betting odds
2:26:33 - Value of philosophy
2:30:30 - Conclusion

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