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Macro Economics and Crypto: Liquidity, Rates, and Risk Cycles


Crypto markets are not driven by narratives alone—they are driven by liquidity. This video explains how macroeconomic forces shape crypto market cycles.

We examine the role of interest rates, explaining why the cost of money determines risk-taking behavior. We then analyze quantitative easing (QE) and quantitative tightening (QT), showing how central bank balance sheets expand or contract global liquidity.

Special attention is given to the US dollar (DXY) and its influence on global capital flows. Because most crypto assets are priced in dollars, dollar strength or weakness has a direct impact on crypto market behavior.

We also address inflation expectations, clarifying the difference between Bitcoin’s long-term hedge narrative and its short-term behavior as a risk asset. Finally, we connect these forces into risk-on and risk-off cycles, explaining why crypto thrives in some environments and struggles in others.

This video provides a macro framework that allows learners to understand crypto market movements without relying on speculation or short-term signals.