2024 Tornado Season Recap and Forecast Verification

In this video, we'll take a look back at our 2024 tornado season forecast (link below) and assess how it performed this season. After a brief review of the factors that modulate tornado frequency and distribution in the US each spring, we'll go month by month from March to June, recapping some of the more notable events in each month to get a picture of how our initial forecast fared.

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Contents

0:00 Introduction
0:40 How modulating factors progressed throughout the season
3:57 Review of our 2024 tornado season forecast
4:24 March recap
5:35 April recap
8:11 May recap
10:44 June recap
12:24 Wrap-up

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Resources:

My 2024 Tornado Season Forecast:    • My 2024 Tornado Season Forecast  

"US regional tornado outbreaks and their links to spring ENSO phases
and North Atlantic SST variability" - Lee et al. (2016): https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10...

Supplementary figures for Lee et al. (2016) accessible through the hyperlink in his article above

"Importance of the Gulf of Mexico as a climate driver for U.S. severe thunderstorm activity" - Molina et al. (2016): https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.c...

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