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Скачать или смотреть He Made $3 Billion Predicting the Crash—Then Lost

  • Crash & Rise
  • 2025-12-14
  • 1
He Made $3 Billion Predicting the Crash—Then Lost
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Описание к видео He Made $3 Billion Predicting the Crash—Then Lost

Michael Thornton did something almost impossible: he predicted the 2022 market
crash with perfect accuracy. While the Federal Reserve insisted inflation was
"transitory" and Wall Street hit record highs, he saw the truth buried in the
data. His hedge fund, Sentinel Capital, made $12.6 billion shorting the market
as it collapsed throughout 2022.

Bloomberg called him a genius. CNBC wanted interviews. Other hedge funds
scrambled to copy his positions. He had proven the entire financial
establishment wrong and made a historic fortune doing it.

But then he made one fatal mistake: he believed his own success story.

When markets began rallying in late 2022 despite persistent inflation, Michael
was certain they were wrong. The fundamentals hadn't changed. The Fed would
keep raising rates. Logic was on his side. History was on his side. The data
was on his side.

So instead of taking his $12.6 billion in profits and walking away, he doubled
down. He added leverage. He increased short positions. He bet everything that
he was still right.

In February 2023, it all collapsed. In just 48 hours, forced liquidations,
margin calls, and a brutal short squeeze erased every penny of profit—plus an
additional $2.1 billion of client capital. The fund that had grown to $28
billion in assets was destroyed. An 87% drawdown. Career over. Lawsuits filed.
Legend shattered.

The cruelest part? Four months later, the market proved Michael right. The Fed
did pause rate hikes. His thesis was correct. But markets don't reward being
right eventually—they reward being right on time.

This is the story of how certainty becomes addiction. How being proven right
can be more dangerous than being wrong. And why the most expensive words in
investing are: "I'm right, so I'll hold."

► TIMESTAMPS:
0:00 - The $12.6 Billion Mistake
1:15 - December 2021: The Prediction Nobody Believed
4:30 - How He Saw What Wall Street Missed
7:45 - The Historic Win: 380% Returns in 2022
10:20 - When Success Became a Trap
13:00 - February 2023: The 48-Hour Collapse
15:30 - The Aftermath: From $28B to Bankruptcy
16:45 - The Lesson: Why Timing Beats Being Right

► KEY TAKEAWAYS:
Why the 2022 Fed rate hikes created the biggest hedge fund opportunity in
a decade
The psychology of conviction: when confidence becomes dangerous
How leverage amplifies both wins and catastrophic losses
The difference between being right and being right on time
Market mechanics: understanding forced liquidations and short squeezes
Risk management lessons from one of Wall Street's biggest collapses

This story isn't just about one hedge fund manager's downfall. It's about a
universal truth in investing: the market can remain irrational longer than you
can remain solvent. Michael Thornton had the analysis right, the thesis right,
the timing right for twelve months—and then fatally wrong for 48 hours.

If you're interested in real stories about wealth creation, market psychology,
and the razor-thin line between genius and disaster, subscribe for deep dives
into the financial decisions that changed lives forever.

► DISCLAIMER:
This video is a dramatized narrative inspired by real market events and trading
strategies. It is created for educational and entertainment purposes. The
characters and specific situations portrayed are fictionalized. This content
does not constitute financial advice. All investing involves risk of loss.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.

📊 Subscribe for more untold wealth stories from the financial markets
👍 Like if this story changed how you think about market timing
💬 Comment: What's the biggest trading mistake you've ever made?

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