Скачать или смотреть Is Dogecoin Repeating XRP’s 2021 Cycle? What This Means for Prices!

Dogecoin started this bull cycle with an impressive rally, fueled by Elon Musk’s influence and Donald Trump’s election campaign. But since the start of 2025, DOGE has seen a steep 32% decline. Now, analysts are pointing to an unsettling pattern: Dogecoin’s price movement is beginning to mirror XRP’s 2021 cycle. What does this mean for the future of Dogecoin’s price? Let’s break it down.
At first, Dogecoin seemed unstoppable. But just like XRP in 2021, it’s now struggling at key resistance levels. Analyst Tony "The Bull" Severino recently highlighted the eerie similarity between DOGE’s chart today and XRP’s performance during the last bull market.
For context, XRP’s 2021 rally was overshadowed by Ripple’s lawsuit with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Despite the market-wide bullish sentiment, XRP peaked at $1.98, far below its 2017 performance. Now, Severino suggests that Dogecoin might be following the same path.
XRP struggled to break the 0.786 Fibonacci level in 2021. Similarly, Dogecoin hit resistance at the 0.786 Fibonacci level of $0.4198 before dropping over 56% from its peak at $0.4846. This pattern raises an important question: Has Dogecoin already reached its cyclical top?
According to Severino’s analysis, Dogecoin could be at risk of stagnation, just like XRP after its 2021 peak. If this pattern holds, we might not see Dogecoin make new highs in this cycle, at least not without a major catalyst.
Adding to this concern, Dogecoin is one of the worst-performing major assets since January 2025, with only Avalanche (AVAX) faring worse in the top 15 cryptocurrencies. The recent correction has forced investors to rethink their bullish expectations.
On the flip side, not everyone agrees with the bearish outlook. Market analyst Trader Tardigrade argues that Dogecoin is forming a dragonfly doji pattern—a signal that often precedes a major rebound.
He suggests that DOGE could see an imminent bounce to $0.229, and if the mean reversion theory plays out, it could even rally as high as $10. That’s a staggering 4,619% gain from current levels!
Moreover, institutional interest in Dogecoin is growing. Grayscale and Bitwise have filed for Dogecoin ETFs, and the SEC has already acknowledged Grayscale’s application. If approved, these funds could drive significant demand for DOGE in the long run.
So, is Dogecoin really repeating XRP’s 2021 cycle? The similarities are striking, but the final outcome is far from certain. If institutional adoption accelerates and bullish momentum returns, DOGE could break away from XRP’s path. But if it continues to follow the 2021 XRP fractal, then this cycle might not be as explosive for Dogecoin as many had hoped.
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