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Toronto Home Prices Keep Crashing HARD in 2026
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►►Toronto home prices have officially fallen below $1,000,000, wiping out five years of appreciation gains. But is the entire Toronto real estate market crashing, or are certain neighborhoods secretly booming?

In this data-driven January 2026 Greater Toronto Area housing market update, we analyze the critical gap between macro statistics and micro realities on the ground. While average home prices have crashed back down to $980,000 and the Months of Inventory (MOI) has reached a historic high of 5.83, this real estate data only tells half the story. Rising CMHC mortgage delinquency rates and the lingering economic ripple effects of recent tariffs have placed immense downward pressure on specific asset classes, pushing many areas into a deep buyer's market.

However, the Greater Toronto Area is not experiencing a uniform housing crash. A stark divergence is occurring between suburban properties and downtown entry-level homes. While suburban condos and luxury detached homes struggle to attract home buyers, entry-level freehold properties—like semis and townhouses—in the Toronto core are currently experiencing fierce bidding wars. We break down the exact data and share boots on-the-ground events to help you navigate this fractured housing market before the anticipated spring listing tsunami arrives.

In this episode, we cover:
— Why average GTA home prices have dropped below $1,000,000 and wiped out 5 years of appreciation;
— The critical Months of Inventory (MOI) metric and why January 2026 broke all-time historic housing records;
— Rising CMHC mortgage default rates and the potential impact of power of sales on neighborhood valuations;
— The "Hot Pocket" anomaly: Why entry-level freeholds in Leslieville, Riverdale, Roncy, and High Park are seeing multiple offers;
— Suburbs vs. Downtown: The stark contrast between struggling suburban GTA condos and competitive downtown Toronto townhomes;
— Market predictions for the upcoming 2026 GTA spring market and the expected post-March break listing tsunami.

00:00 - Greater Toronto Area Appreciation Wiped Out
01:23 - Record Months of Inventory
02:29 - Record Mortgage Defaults
03:33 - Multiple Offers Still Exist
05:26 - 2026 was NOT a Good Housing Start
06:56 - Sellers Market in Toronto?!
07:55 - Historically Bad January Housing Markets

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