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Instagram = https://www.instagram.com/in_case_you... Dragonfly Energy (DFLI): Weekly Technical & Fundamental Forecast (October 13-17, 2025)
​I. Executive Summary: Navigating the Post-Offering Volatility
​Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: DFLI) enters the trading week of October 13, 2025, as a quintessential "battleground stock." The recent closing of a major capital raise has injected significant cash into the company but has also created an exceptionally volatile market environment. This dynamic pits the bearish pressure of substantial share dilution against the bullish fervor of a potential corporate turnaround, now fueled by fresh capital and a series of positive operational developments. The stock currently sits at a critical inflection point following a more than 50% retracement from its recent highs.
​The single most important price level for the upcoming week is the $1.25 offering price. This level acts as a technical, fundamental, and psychological fulcrum. The stock's ability to reclaim and hold above this price will be the clearest indicator of whether bullish or bearish forces are in control. A sustained period above $1.25 would suggest the market has absorbed the new supply of shares and is focused on the company's growth prospects. Conversely, a continued struggle below this level would indicate that the dilutive impact is the dominant market concern.
​The forecast for the week anticipates continued extreme intraday volatility. The primary scenario is a period of consolidation, with the stock likely to trade within a range bounded by critical support near $1.08 and formidable resistance at $1.44. Expect significant and repeated tests of both boundaries. A breakout above this range, or a breakdown below it, will likely signal the next major directional move, especially if confirmed by a significant increase in trading volume.
​Traders and investors must closely monitor three critical factors throughout the week:
​Trading Volume: Volume patterns will be paramount. Diminishing volume on price declines would suggest bullish consolidation, while increasing volume on declines would signal a bearish continuation.
​Short-Seller Activity: Given the high short interest, monitoring daily short volume ratios will provide clues as to whether bears are pressing their advantage or being forced to cover their positions.
​Options Market Dynamics: The extremely high implied volatility priced into DFLI options contracts indicates that the market is anticipating a massive price swing. The overwhelmingly bullish positioning in the options market could act as an accelerant for any upward move.
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