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I’m sure we’ve all heard of the Fed trying to convince everyone that inflation would be “transitory”. For much of 2021, this was the Fed’s stance and they argued that people need to have faith in the Fed. However, by the end of the year, the Fed themselves switched their stance and announced that it was time to retire the word “transitory”. They quickly pivoted to being hawkish and started raising rates. They went from quarter percentage rate hikes to half percentage rate hikes to three quarter percentage rate hikes today. Despite their efforts, we have yet to see any meaningful difference in CPI readings. In fact, the latest CPI reading came in at an eye-watering 9.1%. But, how did the Fed miss something so big and why did they not prepare better. Well, while many like to blame the Fed’s incompetency, I think it was a matter of priorities. The Fed has two roles which are to minimize unemployment and minimize inflation. Throughout 2021, unemployment was at elevated levels while inflation was just starting to go up. So, minimizing unemployment was likely a higher priority than minimizing inflation. This video explains the reasons why the Fed thought inflation would be transitory, why the Fed was wrong about inflation, and when inflation will finally go back down.

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Timestamps:
0:00 - The State Of Inflation
1:49 - Transitory Inflation Explained
4:35 - Why The Fed Was Wrong
6:22 - The Fed’s Master Plan
8:12 - Inflation Outlook
10:15 - “Transitory” Inflation

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This video is not a solicitation or personal financial advice. All investing involves risk. Please do your own research.
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