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The IMF has slightly raised its UK growth forecast for 2025, predicting 1.2% growth this year, rising to 1.4% in 2026. This follows an earlier downgrade. While praising government reforms and infrastructure plans, the IMF warns Chancellor Rachel Reeves faces difficult choices balancing tax and spending, suggesting potential changes to fiscal rules. Global trade tensions, including US tariffs, will impact growth, reducing it by 0.3% by 2026. The IMF notes positive trade agreements but highlights the need for fiscal responsibility. Recent unexpectedly high inflation (3.5% in April) presents a challenge, though the IMF expects it to return to the Bank of England's 2% target later in 2026. The government's commitment to fiscal rules remains a key factor in maintaining market confidence.