Скачать или смотреть Does human social mood make the future predictable? | Alastair Macdonald | TEDxEmbryRiddlePrescott

Alastair Macdonald wants to change the way that you look at the world using socioeconomics. Is it a coincidence that the scariest movies, the darkest art, wars and social unrest arise in bear markets? Is it equally coincident that bull markets are marked by peace accords, trade agreements, bright colors and family fare entertainment? Alastair J. Macdonald is an international analyst, forecaster, speaker, writer and investment consultant. He is the founder and editor of “The Parallax Report,” a subscription-based market, social and economic forecasting service for individual investors, and institutions.

His specialty is identifying the dangers and opportunities in global markets, as driven by social mood. His analysis accurately predicted; the decline in the US dollar (2004), the bursting of the US housing bubble (2004-2005), the global financial crisis (2007), the peak in commodity prices (2008), the collapse of Lehman Brothers (2007), the bottom in US stocks (Spring 2009), the bull market in the US dollar (2011), the second term of Barack Obama (Aug 2012) and the election of Donald Trump (July 2016). He hosts a weekly podcast called “Alone in the Crowd.” This talk was given at a TEDx event using the TED conference format but independently organized by a local community. Learn more at https://www.ted.com/tedx