Proof Grand Theft Auto 6 is Doomed

Can Grand Theft Auto 6 and Take Two Interactive Succeed or are they doomed from the start? Obviously from the title they're doomed and after watching you'll agree.

Background Game: While the Iron's Hot
   • Blacksmithing Simulator While the Iro...  

Da Math
$70 = $49 = 40,816,326.53 copies to cover dev costs
$150 = $105 = 19,047,619.05 copies to cover dev costs
$500,000,000 yearly, so 4 years to break even

References
Two Billion Dollar Budget
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/...

$500,000,000 a year
https://rockstarintel.com/gta-online-...

17 million copies shipped in two weeks
https://www.polygon.com/2018/11/7/180...

Sales data over time
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Red_Dea...

Q224 earnings report
https://ir.take2games.com/static-file...