Скачать или смотреть $12 GAS? Why California’s Refinery Exodus Is A National Security Threat

Is California about to see $12-a-gallon gasoline? We expose the "Energy Exodus" as Valero and Phillips 66 prepare to shut down major refineries, wiping out nearly 20% of the state’s fuel capacity. We break down the "Aviation Fuel Crisis" threatening 30+ military bases, the $1 billion exit cost for refiners, and why the West Coast’s geographic isolation makes it vulnerable to a total supply collapse. Is this a "green transition" or a self-inflicted economic disaster?

The Data Dividend: The Refinery Runoff and the $12 Prediction
California is the world’s fifth-largest economy, but it’s currently sunsetting its fuel infrastructure without a backup plan. This video analyzes the "Supply Cliff" arriving in 2026 and why even the state’s own lawmakers are now panicking over military readiness.

In this critical analysis, we cover:

The 17.5% Capacity Hit: We detail the dual closures. Phillips 66 is idling its Los Angeles refinery this month (Dec 2025), and Valero is set to shutter its Benicia facility by April 2026. Together, they remove 284,000 barrels per day from a market that is already the most expensive in the nation.

The "$12 Extreme Scenario": We look at the data from petroleum experts like Mike Ariza. While current prices hover around $4.34/gallon, analysts warn that without local refining, a single pipeline disruption could send prices into double digits ($10–$12) due to the "isolated" nature of the California grid.

The National Security Threat: It’s not just about cars. Travis Air Force Base and China Lake rely almost exclusively on these local refineries for jet fuel. We analyze the warning from Rep. Vince Fong: by killing local production, the U.S. military in the Pacific becomes dependent on foreign tankers for mission-critical fuel.

The "Regulatory Squeeze": Why are they leaving? We examine the $82 million environmental fines and the "Price Gouging" penalties that have made California operations "untenable." Valero has already recorded a $1.1 billion impairment charge just to prepare for its exit.

Contagion in AZ & NV: California supplies 88% of Nevada’s gas and 33% of Arizona’s. We discuss why drivers in Phoenix and Las Vegas should expect a "massive price shadow" as the California supply disappears.