Скачать или смотреть How Putin’s Invasion Has Bolstered American Power | State of the World | GZERO Media

What happens when the world isn’t led by superpowers anymore?

Subscribe to GZERO on YouTube: http://bit.ly/2TxCVnY

What comes after this "GZERO" world? What does it all mean for the future of the global order?

First, the bad news. The United States, the world’s still most powerful country, is only becoming more politically divided and dysfunctional. I’d love to tell you that I soon see a brighter day ahead for American politics. I don’t. Left-right differences in worldview are too entrenched. Policy positions are too polarized. I don’t think that is going to change.

Nor will US-China relations improve much in coming years. Yes, economic and political self-interest in both countries will prevent a total breakdown in the relationship. But frictions are increasing, not decreasing. Bipartisan US hostility toward China, a surge of Chinese nationalism stoked by the Communist Party, tech competition, the politics of the pandemic, and Russia have all worked to minimize the possibility that a new US-China alignment will help provide the world with better collective leadership. So, you can’t count on that one either.

But I said there is good news. What’s the good news? There’s not going to be a G1 or G2 to replace the GZERO. What’s the good news?

Well, first big point: When you have a world that is run by one or two big superpowers, they set the agenda. The entire agenda. And they make the rules in every important arena of the international system. You have one global order, for better and for worse.

But what happens when the world isn’t led by superpowers anymore? We’ve never had that. It turns out that tomorrow’s geopolitics will not be based on a single global order anymore. Instead, on multiple coexisting orders, with different actors providing leadership, managing different types of challenges.

This is the way out of the GZERO dilemma that we’ve been living with now for more than a decade.

Let’s start with the global security order, because that’s the one area of international relations that actually isn’t changing very much. The United States remains the only country on Earth that can project military power into every region of the world, outspending the next nine countries on defense, combined.

Despite China’s much greater investment in naval capacity and a growing willingness to use it in this part of the world, in East and Southeast Asia, America’s hard power has no serious global rival. For now, China remains a regional military power.

And ironically, Putin’s invasion has bolstered American security power by reminding Europe just how valuable that transatlantic alliance can be. I said, NATO has expanded, not because America wants them too, but because Russia and Putin persuaded them they have to.

Sign up for GZERO’s free newsletter on global politics, Signal: http://bit.ly/gzerosignal
Subscribe to the GZERO podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast...
Like GZERO on Facebook:   / gzeromedia  
Follow GZERO on Twitter:   / gzeromedia  
Follow GZERO on LinkedIn:   / 18385722  

GZERO Media is a multimedia publisher providing news, insights and commentary on the events shaping our world. Our properties include GZERO World with Ian Bremmer, our newsletter Signal, Puppet Regime, the GZERO World Podcast, In 60 Seconds and GZEROMedia.com

#GZEROSummit #GlobalSecurity #stateoftheworld