Скачать или смотреть The Saudi-US Defense Deal: What Trump and MBS Are Really Negotiating

🚨 MAJOR MIDDLE EAST SHIFT: Saudi Arabia is in serious negotiations with the Trump administration for a comprehensive defense agreement—and this isn't your typical diplomatic theater. Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman heads to Washington next month to potentially seal a deal that could fundamentally reshape regional security.
⚡ WHAT WE COVER:

The real terms Saudi Arabia is demanding (hint: Congressional approval is non-negotiable)
Why the Pakistan defense pact is actually brilliant Saudi leverage
Israel's complicated position and the Palestinian statehood deadlock
How this differs completely from the failed Biden-era approach
Technical details: potential Article 5-style security guarantees
The three-way dynamic: Trump's Abraham Accords push vs. Saudi Arab leadership vs. Israeli red lines
Why this signals the end of US diplomatic dominance in the Middle East

📊 KEY INSIGHTS FROM:

Mubarak Al-Ati (Political Analyst, Riyadh)
Elon Aviatar (Former Israeli Defense Ministry Advisor)
Financial Times exclusive reporting
Strategic analysis of Congressional dynamics

🔍 CRITICAL CONTEXT:
This isn't just about weapons sales or vague security promises. We're talking about legally binding commitments that could obligate US military responses, advanced technology transfers including civilian nuclear cooperation, and economic integration so deep that walking away becomes strategically impossible.
The Saudi strategy is sophisticated: decouple the vital US security partnership from the normalization track with Israel, negotiate from strength with multiple global partnerships as leverage, and maintain principled positions on Palestinian statehood while securing core national interests.
⏰ TIMESTAMPS:
0:00 - The Financial Times Bombshell
2:15 - Why Post-Gaza Changed Everything
4:30 - Saudi Arabia's Position of Strength
7:45 - What They're Actually Negotiating
11:20 - The Israel-Palestine Elephant in the Room
15:40 - Israeli Government's Red Lines Explained
19:10 - Saudi Arabia's Diplomatic Tightrope
22:30 - The Pakistan Deal as Leverage
25:15 - Congressional Approval: The Real Challenge
28:40 - Technical Details That Matter
31:50 - Three-Way Power Dynamic Analysis
35:20 - What Happens Next: MBS's Washington Visit
🎯 WHY THIS MATTERS:
The traditional assumptions about Middle East diplomacy are being shattered. Saudi Arabia isn't waiting for Israeli-Palestinian peace before securing its interests. The US is showing unprecedented flexibility. And the balance of power is shifting toward regional actors with global options.
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💬 DISCUSSION QUESTIONS:

Will Congress actually approve a NATO-style defense treaty with Saudi Arabia?
Is decoupling the security agreement from normalization the right strategy?
How will Iran respond to a formal Saudi-US defense pact?
Can Trump deliver on Abraham Accords expansion without forcing Saudi compromises?

🔗 RELATED COVERAGE:

The Abraham Accords: What Actually Changed
Saudi Vision 2030: Beyond the Headlines
US-Israel Relations Under Trump 2.0
Pakistan's Growing Middle East Role

⚠️ SOURCES & TRANSPARENCY:
All analysis based on publicly available information from Financial Times reporting, on-record interviews with regional experts, and established geopolitical frameworks. We maintain editorial independence and don't accept government funding.
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