Скачать или смотреть 2/4/20 Climate, People, and the Environment Program Seminar - Dr. Natasha MacBean

Title: Model-Data Fusion for Reducing Uncertainty in
Global Carbon Cycle Predictions: How Far Have
We Come and How Far Do We Have To Go?

Speaker: Natasha Macbean, Assistant Professor, Department of Geography, Indiana University

Abstract: Uncertainty in global terrestrial biosphere model (TBMs)
projections of the terrestrial carbon sink is high – some
models even predict the land may switch this century
from a sink to a source of CO2, which in turn would
reduce the allowable CO2 emissions that would keep us
within a given temperature rise. In this talk, I highlight
the progress made, and challenges faced, in developing a
carbon cycle data assimilation system to better quantify
and reduce uncertainty in the ORCHIDEE TBM
vegetation and carbon cycle predictions.