Скачать или смотреть The Future of European Security Perspective - Bucharest Forum 2015

The Future of European Security Perspective: Emerging Strategic Focus or Faltering Ambitions?
Keynote speech: Alexander Vershbow, Deputy Secretary General, NATO
Initial Commentators:
Mihai Răzvan Ungureanu, Director, Foreign Intelligence Service
Frances G. Burwell, Vice President and Director, Transatlantic Relations, Atlantic Council
Respondents:
Sen. Benedetto Della Vedova, Under-Secretary for Foreign Affairs, Italian Ministry for Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation
Daniel Ioniță, State Secretary for Strategic Affairs, Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Levente Benkő, Deputy Minister of state for security policy, Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade of Hungary
Iulian Chifu, Director, Center for Conflict Prevention and Early Warning
Moderator: Radu Tudor, Political and Military Analyst
In June 2015, the European Council has issued a mandate to the EU High Representative Federica Mogherini to prepare a new EU global strategy on Foreign and Security Policy. The starting premises for this exercise lie in the evolving security environment around Europe. The previous European Security Strategy revolved a lot around the idea of "soft power", which has failed to counter Russian challenges to European security as much as it failed to support Europe in addressing the changes in the greater Mediterranean region. Challenges that the next Strategy should address include rising economic and religious tensions, the rise of new regional and global players, correlated with accentuated impact of globalization. Fears of committing to a new strategy have been long embedded in member states as well as among EU institutions, as this exercise may bring forth further divisions. In the Southern neighborhood, full-blown conflicts in Libya and Syria demand complex responses and unprecedented solidarity, while in the East the difficult relationship with Russia requires an unprecedented deployment of non-security instruments and policy responses, including in the trade and energy sectors.
The same regional and global shifts led to significant internal debate inside NATO. 2014 and the ongoing Ukraine crisis challenged the shared strategic vision among the Allies particularly when it comes to a common assessment of the Russian threat and a joint military strategy of the Eastern flank. The Alliance has major tasks ahead in implementing the transformative decisions taken at the Wales summit as the basis of a new strategic vision.
The return of "geopolitics" in Eastern Europe and in the Middle East goes hand in hand with attempts by Russia to weaken transatlantic and european solidarity, ahead of the NATO Warsaw summit in 2016 and the Bucharest Eastern flank summit in November this year. Another major dimension of the strategic debate inside NATO currently concerns the operational and policy challenges in securing a credible deterrence system and effective solidarity across the North Atlantic Alliance. All these elements are on the table for the upcoming Warsaw summit, along with the pressing necessity to ensure effective burden sharing. Russia's capacity to act as a spoiler in Europe's South and East is posing rising concerns for NATO members, considering the ongoing interventions in Syria and the violation of the airspace of Turkey but also its continued use of frozen conflicts across the Alliance's eastern neighborhood. In light of all these dimensions, NATO - EU cooperation (that is between the US and major European allies, but also Poland and Eastern flank member states) remains crucial to addressing these overlapping security crises around Europe. In itself this topic is shaping the Transatlantic and European policy debate and impacts the policy vision of decision makers in Washington and Brussels.
Bucharest Forum 2015 takes place between 14-16 October at critical times for the region and Europe. As the global order is changing, new economic and strategic alignments shape the context for political cooperation, economic and trade relations as well as investment. This is particularly evident in the East-West political and economic dynamic along the New Silk Road.
Political crisis in Europe is evident in the difficulty of managing the Greek debt issue, the UK referendum and the Mediterranean refugee crisis. This European malaise is heightened by domestic populists’ rifts and the challenge of the deep low in relations with Russia over the Ukraine crisis. Combined with a deep partisan rift in Washington and approaching Presidential elections in the US this has implications for the West and presents complex challenges for the Trans-Atlantic community.