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GOLD AND SILVER OUTLOOK 2025
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Gold and silver shine bright: Experts predict another 10-25% rally to fresh high in 2025

Gold and silver saw over 25% gains in 2024, with gold hitting $2,800 and silver reaching $35.
ICICI Securities predicts further increases in 2025, driven by central bank buying and industrial demand.

Gold and silver delivered exceptional returns in 2024, with both metals registering gains exceeding 25 per cent.
Gold reached an all-time high of $2,800 per 10 grams on October 31,
while silver soared to $35 ( ₹100,000) per kilogram on October 23.
These record-breaking levels were fueled by the metals'
safe-haven appeal amid escalating geopolitical and economic uncertainties.

ICICI Securities projects further gains for both metals in 2025.
Gold prices are expected to climb to ₹85,000 per 10 grams,
while silver could reach ₹1,10,000 per kilogram.
The domestic brokerage attributes these forecasts to robust central bank buying,
trade war concerns, and strong industrial demand.

In its report, the brokerage emphasized the role of geopolitical risks
and central bank reserve diversification as critical factors boosting gold prices.
For silver, the projected market deficit and rising industrial usage,
particularly in the green energy sector, are expected to underpin the metal's upward trajectory.

As per ICICI Securities, globally, gold prices are forecasted to rise to $2,900-$3,000 in the coming months,
supported by ongoing monetary easing by major central banks and steady central bank gold purchases
for reserve diversification. Despite potential headwinds from a strong US dollar and rising Treasury yields,
renewed ETF inflows and robust central bank buying—186 tonnes in Q3CY24 and 694 tonnes year-to-date—are
expected to underpin the bullish trend.


“Given the current scenario, central banks are likely to continue diversifying their reserves with gold
for financial and strategic reasons,” ICICI Securities stated in its report.

China remained a top gold buyer in 2024, adding 34 tonnes to its reserves.
ICICI Securities believes that the People's Bank of China (PBOC) will continue its gold purchases
due to the relatively low proportion of gold in its foreign exchange reserves compared to other assets.



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