Скачать или смотреть Weekly SMC Outlook: DXY, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, XAUUSD (March 9-13)

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In this week’s SMC outlook, I’m walking through my trading plan for the US dollar, euro, pound, USDCHF, and gold.

We’re looking at key price action levels, imbalances, and Smart Money Concepts (SMC) structures that could drive the forex market next week.

I’ll show you the external structure for each market, the areas I’m watching for liquidity sweeps or change of character, and where I think the best trading opportunities could develop.

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DXY (US Dollar Index)

The US dollar started last week with a weekend gap and then rallied hard before moving into a sideways range.

Right now the DXY is still respecting the ascending channel that has been in place since late January, with higher highs and higher lows forming after the change of character earlier this year.

I’m watching a potential pullback into the optimal trade entry (OTE) region around 98.00, where a four-hour imbalance aligns with the discount area of the current range.

If price rotates into that region and we get a lower-timeframe shift or change of character, it could present a solid opportunity to look for US dollar longs.

However, acceptance below the channel or a break of recent lows would weaken the bullish structure.

EURUSD

EURUSD continues to mirror the DXY and remains in a descending channel following the bearish change of character.

Price is currently forming lower highs and lower lows, which keeps the downtrend intact for now.

The key region I’m watching sits around 1.1740–1.1760 where a four-hour imbalance aligns with the premium area of the current range.

If the euro rallies into that zone next week, I’ll be watching for a lower-timeframe BOS and shift in market structure to potentially look for shorts.

As always, confirmation is key.

GBPUSD

GBPUSD is showing a very similar structure to EURUSD, with the market still trending lower overall.

The pound has started to bounce off the recent low, but the broader price action still shows a series of lower highs and lower lows.

The area I’m watching sits within the premium portion of the current range where an imbalance and the weekend gap overlap.

If price pushes into that region next week and we see a lower-timeframe change of character, that could present a short opportunity to trade with the existing downtrend.

USDCHF

USDCHF is one of the more interesting markets right now because the lower-timeframe structure turned bullish recently with a break of structure.

However, the higher timeframe tells a slightly different story after the pair tested a major weekly level last week.

If the bullish structure is going to hold, I’ll be watching the discount region and nearby imbalances for a potential higher low.

A lower-timeframe shift in that area could confirm buyers are still in control.

But if price starts taking out recent lows, the market could quickly flip bearish again.

Gold (XAUUSD)

Gold pulled back last week after forming an internal change of character following the rally.

However, that pullback was relatively shallow compared to previous corrections, which means this could still be a continuation move within the broader bullish structure.

The key level I’m watching sits around 5300, where a fair value gap and premium region of the range overlap.

If gold pushes into that area next week and we see a lower-timeframe shift or liquidity sweep, it could trigger another move lower.

But if buyers step in again, gold may simply continue higher toward the recent highs.

Let me know in the comments which forex pairs you’re watching this week.

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#forex #smc #priceaction #smartmoney #trading

CHAPTERS

0:00 Intro
0:13 DXY Outlook
3:55 EURUSD Outlook
6:04 FREE SMC Strategy
6:22 GBPUSD Outlook
8:11 USDCHF Outlook
11:48 XAUUSD Outlook

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Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading forex, crypto, and other markets involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always do your own research and never risk money you can’t afford to lose. I am not responsible for any losses you may incur from acting on the information in this video.