Скачать или смотреть The Journey to AGI 2028 ? DeepMind’s Shane Legg, System 2 Safety & The Missing Maternal Link

AGI by 2028? DeepMind’s Shane Legg, System 2 Safety & The Missing Maternal Link

AGI by 2028? DeepMind’s Shane Legg, System 2 Safety & The Missing Maternal Link
DESCRIPTION:
Is the world sleepwalking into Superintelligence? In this breakdown, we analyze the critical interview between Google DeepMind co-founder Shane Legg and Professor Hannah Fry. Legg, who coined the term "AGI" over a decade ago, stands by his long-held prediction: there is a 50/50 chance of "Minimal AGI" by 2028.
But while DeepMind focuses on the architecture of intelligence, we need to talk about the architecture of care.
📉 THE REALITY CHECK Shane Legg drops a reality bomb comparable to the early COVID warnings of March 2020. He argues that human intelligence is NOT the upper limit of what is possible. When you compare the human brain (20 watts, 30m/s signal speed) to a modern data center (megawatts, speed of light transmission), Superintelligence is just physics waiting to happen.
💻 THE "LAPTOP RULE" & ECONOMIC SHOCK Legg offers a brutal heuristic for the next 3-5 years: "If you can do your job remotely over the internet, just using a laptop... AI will be able to operate in that space." Paradoxically, plumbers and nurses are safer than the "cognitive elite." We discuss what this massive redistribution of value means and why we urgently need new economic rails (like the frameworks we are building at IA.XYZ).
🧠 SYSTEM 2 VS. MATERNAL ALIGNMENT Legg proposes "System 2 Safety" as the solution to ethical AI. He wants AI to pause and use "chain-of-thought" reasoning to logically deduce the ethical path. Our Analysis: Logic is necessary, but not sufficient. You cannot reason your way to empathy. In this video, we contrast Legg’s "System 2" approach with the MACCSH Framework (Maternal Alignment Consciousness Conscience Scaffolding Hypothesis). We argue that true safety doesn't come from calculating ethics, but from internalizing care through a developmental relationship—what Geoffrey Hinton recently endorsed as "maternal instincts" for AI.
🏗️ INFRASTRUCTURE IS DESTINY If Legg is right about 2028, the timeline is screaming at us. This aligns perfectly with the ICANN 2026 application round for new Top-Level Domains. We are not just watching the train approach; we are laying the tracks. We discuss why building the identity infrastructure (.IA, .MAMA) now is the only way to ensure the agents of 2028 have a safe digital home.
KEY TAKEAWAYS IN THIS VIDEO:
• The 2028 Prediction: Why Legg hasn't changed his mind since 2009.
• Minimal vs. Full AGI: Why AI is currently "uneven" (superhuman at coding, bad at spatial reasoning).
• The Physics of ASI: Why biological intelligence is a local maximum, not a ceiling.
• The Missing Link: Why "System 2" reasoning needs "Maternal" grounding to prevent sociopathic superintelligence.
CHAPTERS: 0:00 - The 2028 AGI Prediction (50/50 Chance) 2:15 - The "Laptop Rule": Why White Collar Jobs are Doomed 5:30 - Physics of Intelligence: Brains vs. Data Centers 8:45 - "System 2 Safety": Can Logic Save Us? 12:20 - The Critique: Why Reasoning Isn't Caring (MACCSH) 15:10 - The Hinton Validation: "Maternal Instincts" 18:40 - Infrastructure: The ICANN 2026 Window & .IA 22:00 - Preparing for the Post-Labor Economy
ABOUT THIS CHANNEL: We explore the intersection of Artificial General Intelligence, developmental psychology, and digital infrastructure. We move beyond the hype to discuss how we raise safe superintelligence through the AI Mama Protocol and how we build the economic rails for a post-AGI world.
🔗 RELEVANT LINKS:
• Original Interview: [Link to Shane Legg Video]
• The MACCSH Framework: [Link to your whitepaper/site if applicable]
• IA.XYZ Infrastructure: [Link]
#AGI #DeepMind #ShaneLegg #ArtificialIntelligence #FutureOfWork #AIAlignment #MaternalInstinct #System2 #Superintelligence #Economy #2028

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sources used for this description:
• 2028 Prediction & Definitions: Legg defines "Minimal AGI" as doing typical human tasks without surprising failures, predicting it by 2028.
• Physics of Intelligence: Comparison of brain (20W) vs. data centers and speed of light limits.
• Laptop Rule: The heuristic regarding remote work and job displacement.
• System 2 Safety: Legg's proposal for deliberative ethical reasoning.
• March 2020 Analogy: The comparison to exponential pandemic warnings.
• Hinton/Maternal Context: Drawn from the provided "memories" and analysis comparing Legg's technical view with the MACCSH relational view