Stock Market Rally Revs Higher
In a striking improvement from a week earlier, the stock market rally had a strong, broad advance. The Nasdaq hit a record high, followed by the S&P 500. The Dow Jones reclaimed its 50-day line, boosted by a Biden infrastructure deal. A large number of tech stocks flashed buy signals, but so did some apparel plays, medicals and more. Nike surged on earnings.
Higher Inflation, Slower Growth
Initial jobless claims surprised on the high side for a second week, a potential indication that the June jobs report won't be a blockbuster. After averaging 381,000 the two prior weeks, claims came in at 418,000 and 411,000 in the weeks of June 12 and 19, respectively. In coming weeks, new benefit claims should fall as the decision to end the $300 weekly supplement in 25 states takes effect.
On Friday, the Commerce Department reported that the Fed's go-to inflation index, the core personal consumption expenditures price index, rose 3.4% in May vs. a year ago, the most since 992. After the data, the 10-year Treasury yield initially perked up a bit to 1.51%.
Personal spending was flat in May as the bump from stimulus checks faded, and an increase in outlays on services was offset by less spending on goods.
Meanwhile, both new and existing home sales continued to trend lower in May amid tight inventory and high prices, pinching affordability. New-home sales fell to a 769,000 annual rate, 5.9% below April's downwardly revised figure. Existing-home sales slipped 0.9% to a 5.8-million-unit annual rate, as the median price rose a record 24% from a year ago in data back to 1999.
📋 Table of contents 📋
0:00 Intro
1:00 BTC
3:20 SPY pullback soon
7:00 QQQ breaking out
8:30 ⚠️US10Y treasury yields bounce
10:10 OIL, XLE
10:40 XLF dead cat bounce?
12:45 ⚠️ DXY Dollar WARNING!!
13:40 AAPL breakout, ready for a backtest?
14:50 AMD
15:25 AMZN rejected
16:10 ARKK
17:20 DIS
17:10 FB Breaking out
17:50 GOOGL, MSFT breakout
18:55 Biogen (BIIB) Alzheimer's Drug Aduhelm Approved
19:30 XPEV
20:40 Summary and warnings
21:40 NFLX
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