Скачать или смотреть 54% Dark Pool Activity! What Wall Street is HIDING in RGTI Stock..RIGETTI Comp- RGTI STOCK ANALYSIS

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Instagram = https://www.instagram.com/in_case_you... ​🚀 Quick Summary: The RGTI Contradiction
​🧩 The Big Puzzle: Rigetti Computing (RGTI) closed near $31.40 but is defined by a "toxic contradiction." A massive 54.49% of its dark pool volume is short selling—meaning for every $1 traded privately, over 54 cents is a bet the price will fall.
​🐻 The Bear Case (The Fear):
​Insiders: In the last 3 months, insiders sold over 654,000 shares (worth $10.3 million) and purchased 0 shares.
​Shorts: Public short interest is high at 12.46% of the float.
​Options: The put/call ratio is 1.33, showing 33% more bearish bets than bullish ones.
​Earnings: Q3 revenue was $1.9 million, missing the $2.17 million estimate.
​Margins: Gross margins collapsed from 51% last year down to 21%.
​Valuation: The stock trades at 19.4x Price-to-Book (paying $19.40 for every $1 of assets) versus an industry average of ~3.5x.
​🐂 The Bull Case (The Hope):
​Analysts: Wall Street consensus is a Strong Buy, including 5 separate buy ratings and one firm (B. Riley) with a $42 price target (over 30% upside).
​Contracts: The company secured a $5.8 million contract from the Air Force Research Lab and $5.7 million in new purchase orders.
​Cash: The "trump card" is its $600 million cash pile and low debt (a 0.07 debt-to-equity ratio), giving it a long runway for R&D.
​The Dream: Bulls are buying a "lottery ticket" on a potential $1 trillion industry by 2030, with the CEO claiming "quantum advantage" is 3 to 4 years away.
​📊 Conflicting Technicals:
​Short-Term: The stock is below the 50-day MA ($33.48), which is bearish. The MACD also signals downward momentum.
​Long-Term: The stock is still "comfortably above" the 200-day MA ($20.33), which is bullish.
​RSI: The RSI is neutral at 43.76, meaning it's not oversold yet and bears may still have room to push.
​⚠️ What's Next (The Key Levels):
​For Bears: A break below the $30.24 support level would be a major win, likely targeting the psychological $28 level.
​For Bulls: They must reclaim the 50-day MA at $33.48. The entire long-term story depends on defending the 200-day MA at $20.33.
​🤔 The Final Question: How long can the $600 million in cash sustain the hype for a stock trading at 19.4x book value when its gross margins have collapsed from 51% to 21%?

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