Silver Bubble Warning Is Failing | China Export Ban & US Critical Mineral Shock Explained. In this video, we break down one of the most dangerous contradictions in global markets right now. Silver surged more than 153% in a single year, then suddenly collapsed in a brutal one-day crash. Panic selling followed. Headlines screamed “bubble.” The charts looked terminal.
#SilverCrisis #SilverSupplyShock #SilverPriceExplosion
But behind the scenes, something unprecedented is happening.
One of the world’s largest banks, Société Générale, uses an advanced crash-detection system known as the Log-Periodic Power Law Singularity (LPPLS) model — a mathematical framework designed to identify speculative bubbles before they burst. This model has correctly flagged major silver crashes in 2010 and 2020.
Today, that same model is flashing red again.
Yet shockingly, the very analysts who built the model are telling clients to ignore it.
Why would a major global bank dismiss its own bubble warning at the most critical moment?
Because the model only sees prices — not geopolitics, supply chains, or national security.
Starting January 1, China is expected to impose new export restrictions on refined silver, citing national security concerns. China currently supplies 60–70% of the world’s refined silver, and analysts estimate exports could fall by up to 30%. At the same time, the world already faces a structural silver deficit of 200–230 million ounces per year.
This is not a demand spike. This is a physical supply shock.
Meanwhile, in the United States, regulators are reviewing whether silver should be designated a critical mineral due to America’s 64% reliance on imports. If tariffs, stockpiling, or export controls are introduced, the global silver market could fracture — creating separate prices in New York, London, Shanghai, and India.
And the evidence is already here.
Physical silver is trading at 10–15% premiums above paper spot prices in major global markets. That means the real market is signaling scarcity — while paper charts still suggest excess.
This is the paradox.
The computer model sees a bubble.
The analysts see a structural regime change driven by de-dollarization, national security policy, and industrial demand from solar, defense, and advanced technology.
In this video, we explain why silver may be transitioning from a commodity into a strategic asset, similar to oil or uranium — where price no longer matters during shortages.
Is this the bubble popping?
Or is this the final shakeout before the supply gates close?
If you care about what happens to your savings in 2025, you need to understand why the price on your screen may no longer reflect reality.
Watch carefully. The music is speeding up.
SOURCES / REFERENCES
• Société Générale Global Commodities Research – LPPLS bubble framework
• Mike Haigh, Head of Commodities Research, Société Générale
• World Silver Survey – Silver Institute (global supply deficit data)
• U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) – U.S. silver import dependence
• China Ministry of Commerce – Critical mineral export controls
• Shanghai & Indian bullion market physical silver premium reports
• Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS), U.S. Department of Commerce
DISCRIMIR:
The content on this channel is for educational and informational purposes only. It is based on historical facts and publicly available sources. This channel does not provide financial, investment, or legal advice. Viewers should do their own research before making any decisions.
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