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SPY is up six months in a row. Should traders expect a crash—or continuation?

In this video, Michael Nauss (StatsEdgeTrading) runs historical stats on multi-month SPY rallies going back to 1995. The results might surprise you. This isn’t a “fade every rally” environment. Instead, we look at what typically follows a 6-month uptrend—and how to adjust your strategy accordingly.

Quant insights on when to favor mean reversion vs trend following, why the VIX matters, and how to rotate your algos based on market regime.

Includes access to StatsEdge Pro, our full trading system suite.

Chapter timestamps:

0:00 – Intro: Why This Chart Matters
1:10 – SPY's 6-Month Upstreak
2:30 – Historical Cases (1995–2024)
4:10 – What Happens After: Breakdown
5:20 – Strategic Takeaways for Traders
6:15 – When to Favor Mean Reversion
7:00 – How StatsEdge Pro Uses This
8:00 – Final Thoughts & Free Resources