‘Hindutva didn’t work': Political analyst Sanjay Kumar on Modi, caste & religion in Lok Sabha 2024

#loksabhaelection2024 #electionresult

The Lok Sabha poll results stunned most spectators, with the BJP falling short of the majority mark despite its clarion call for over 400 seats. So what went wrong? How did the INDIA bloc parties engineer their revival?

Sanjay Kumar, director of Lokniti-CSDS, has been tracking and analysing Indian politics for decades. In this conversation with Newslaundry, Singh delved into the factors that led to the BJP’s decline, particularly in Uttar Pradesh.

The political analyst shared his insights on the caste dynamics at play in the elections, the Modi factor, consensus among people, and the triggers behind the BJP’s setback. “Prime Minister Modi’s magic is still intact…but there has been a decline in his ability to pull votes for the BJP.”

Kumar said the “narrative of Hindutva” didn’t work and that “overconfidence has killed the BJP”, while the opposition’s rhetoric to “save the constitution” struck a chord with the people. Kumar also explains what went so horribly wrong with the Exit Polls 2024.

Watch.

00:00 - 2:55 → Politics is serious business!
2:55 - 6:55 → The fall of the BJP
6:55 - 10:20 → Decline of the Modi factor
10:20 - 12:38 → Consolidation of the ‘Women’s Vote’
12:38 - 16:00 → Did ‘Welfare Politics’ pay for the BJP?
16:00 - 20:00 → Loyalty Bonus and Anxieties
20:00 - 21:33 → BJP’s loss in Faizabad
21:33 - 22:40 → Has UP rejected Hindutva?
22:40 - 26:30 → Popular election rhetorics of LS 2024
26:30 - 29:00 → Social coalitions in UP
29:00 - 33:20 → Regional variations of rural distress
33:20 - 38:35 → Dissecting the exit poll business
38:35 - 51:45 → Should seat projection end?
41:45 - 45:00 → Voter transparency
45:00 - 47:27 → Should exit polls be banned?
47:27 - 49:35 → How do Indians see the minority-majority question?
49:35 → Concluding thoughts

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