Trend-Following: Theory, Expectations and Reality, Special Presentation | Arthur Hill, CMT (11.6.21)

Trend-following is a systematic and rules-based strategy for trading in the direction of the underlying trend. Trend-following strategies originated in the commodity markets and benefited from broad diversification. These strategies can also be applied to stocks, however, some adjustments are needed to improve robustness and limit draw-downs. This special edition of Next Level Charting will cover the theory behind trend-following, back-test some classic indicators, set realistic expectations and show some techniques to improve performance when focused on stocks.

00:00 - Introduction
02:00 - A Little About Me
04:16 - My Trading Style: Systematic and Discretionary
06:02 - Agenda of Presentation
07:07 - Key Assumptions and Characteristics
09:14 - Trend Following vs. Mean Reversion
11:36 - Time Frame Considerations
13:45 - Trend Following Indicators and Signals (MA Crossovers, Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channels)
24:49 - Expectations vs. Reality (Equity curve based on a system over 20-year period)
27:15 - Back-testing the Indicators
36:25 - Broad Market Timing: Market Regime Matters
44:25 - Expectations vs. Reality: Keeping it Real
47:04 - Key Takeaways and Next Steps
54:04 - Questions: Do you prefer exponential or simple moving averages?

CONNECT WITH ARTHUR
Website: https://trendinvestorpro.com/
Blog: https://stockcharts.com/articles/arth...
  / arthurhill  


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