Скачать или смотреть EURUSD WEEKLY PERSPECTIVE

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK.
EURUSD exchange rate =1.15617
the eurusd exchange market experienced a sharp break and retest in may 2025 at 1.11033 and rallied into 1.19337 in September. The rejection at 1.19337 was from a weekly supply roof .on technical we are looking for long position from the following demand floor.
1) demand floor @ 1.13575
2) demand floor @ 1.10397-1.10736
technical direction hinges on the US10Y AND DOLLAR INDEX key supply roof to enable us go long on EURUSD .without this correlation it will be difficult to long EURUSD without unnecessary pull back from position.
FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK.
ECB Rate
The ECB's main refinancing rate is currently 2.15%.
The deposit facility rate stands at 2.00%, and the marginal lending facility rate at 2.40%.
The ECB has held interest rates unchanged for the third consecutive meeting in late 2025, signaling confidence in a resilient Eurozone economy with inflation near the 2% medium-term target.
Future monetary policy decisions remain data-dependent and subject to incoming economic and inflation data.
Head of ECB
The President of the ECB is Christine Lagarde
EU (Eurozone) 10-Year Bond Yield (EU10Y)
The 10-year bond yield for the Eurozone is currently around 2.672%, reflecting a stable but cautious expectations environment linked to inflation control and economic growth prospects.
Fed Chair: Jerome Powell
Federal Funds Rate: ~3.75%-4.0%
US10Y Yield: 4.093%
INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL=1.6%-1.85%
BONDYIELD DIFFEERENTIAL=2.258%
CARRY TRADE =FAVOR USD SHORT .
ECONOMIC DOCKETS FOR THE WEEK 9TH-14TH 2025
November 10, 2025:
ECB Executive Board Member Lane Speech (market insight on monetary policy)
November 11, 2025:
ECB Executive Board Member Elderson Speech
ECB President Christine Lagarde Speech (10:00 AM CET) — key event for policy direction and market guidance
ZEW Economic Sentiment Index release (Forecast around 22.7, previous 24)
November 12, 2025:
ECB Executive Board Member Schnabel Speech
ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos Speech
Eurogroup Meeting (decision-making on economic policy coordination)
Industrial Production MoM (Forecast -1.2%)
November 13, 2025:
ECB Economic Bulletin release
Business Confidence and Consumer Confidence indexes—important for gauging economic health
November 15, 2025:
ECB Executive Board Member Lane Speech
November 13th
Core CPI m/m 0.3% 0.2%
CPI m/m 0.2% 0.3%
CPI y/y 3.0%
Unemployment Claims
November 14th Tentative
Core PPI m/m
Core Retail Sales m/m
PPI m/m
Retail Sales m/m
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