Скачать или смотреть Australia New Subclass 189 Visa Selection Model Explained | Tiers & Occupation Ceilings

A new explanation of how Subclass 189 Skilled Independent visa invitations may be managed has been circulating widely online. The model outlines how occupations are grouped into tiers, each with a different “multiplier”, which is then used to estimate how many invitations may be issued each year. This approach combines occupation ceilings, workforce size, and priority levels to determine how many 189 invitations may be available after other visa categories are filled.
Whatever number remains is then available for Subclass 189 invitations.
To determine how many invitations each occupation receives, two factors are used:
1. Australian workforce size in that occupation
2. A percentage multiplier based on the tier that the occupation falls into
The formula used in the model is:
Occupation Invitations = Workforce Size × Tier % − Last Year’s Employer-Sponsored Visa Grants
A minimum of 500 invitations is expected if the remaining number is above zero but under 500.
If the remaining number reaches zero or if employer-sponsored visas already exceeded the ceiling, then no 189 invitations would be available for that occupation.
Understanding the Four Tiers
Tier 1 – Highest Priority (4% Multiplier)
• These occupations are described as having long training pathways and critical workforce shortages.
• Includes medical specialists and advanced health professionals.
• Medical Diagnostic Radiographer
• Medical Radiation Therapist
• Nuclear Medicine Technologist
• Sonographer
• Optometrist
• Occupational Therapist
• Physiotherapist
• Paediatrician
• Renal Medicine Specialist
• Rheumatologist
• Thoracic Medicine Specialist
• Specialist Physicians (nec)
• Psychiatrist
• Surgeon
• Cardiothoracic Surgeon
• Neurosurgeon
• Orthopaedic Surgeon
• Otorhinolaryngologist
• Plastic and Reconstructive Surgeon
• Urologist
• Vascular Surgeon
• Dermatologist
• Emergency Medicine Specialist
• Obstetrician and Gynaecologist
• Ophthalmologist
• Pathologist
• Diagnostic and Interventional Radiologist
• Radiation Oncologist 253918
• Medical Practitioners (nec)
• Midwife
• Nurse Practitioner
• Registered Nurse (Aged Care)
Tier 2 – Government Priority (2% Multiplier)
This tier focuses on occupations prioritised under Ministerial Direction 105, especially:
Unit Group Occupation
1341 Child Care Centre Managers
2411 Early Childhood (Pre-primary School) Teachers
2414 Secondary School Teachers
2415 Special Education Teachers
2723 Psychologists
2725 Social Workers
These occupations are highlighted as important for national public services.
Tier 3 – Diverse Occupations (1% Multiplier)
• This tier contains a broad range of professional, technical, scientific and trade occupations.
• It has moderate invitation opportunities because it includes the largest number of skilled occupations.
• Occupation
• Construction Project Manager
• Engineering Manager
• Nursing Clinical Director
• Primary Health Organisation Manager
• Welfare Centre Manager
• Arts Administrator or Manager
• Actuary
• Statistician
• Economist
• Land Economist
• Valuer
• Management Consultant
• Architect
• Landscape Architect
• Surveyor
• Cartographer
• Other Spatial Scientist
• Chemical Engineer
• Materials En
• Transport Engineer
• Electrical Engineer
• Electronics Engineer
• Industrial Engineer
• Mechanical Engineer
• Production or Plant Engineer
• Mining Engineer (Excluding Petroleum)
• Petroleum Engineer
• Aeronautical Engineer
• Environmental Research Scientist
• Environmental Scientist (nec)
• Geophysicist
• Hydrogeologist
• Life Scientist (General)
• Biochemist
• Biotechnologist
• Botanist
• Marine Biologist
• Microbiologist
• Zoologist
• Civil Engineering Draftsperson
• Civil Engineering Technician
• Electrical Engineering Draftsperson
• Electrical Engineering Technician
• Automotive Electrician
• Motor Mechanic (General)
• Diesel Motor Mechanic
• Motorcycle Mechanic
• Small Engine Mechanic
• Sheetmetal Trades Worker
• Metal Fabricator
• Pressure Welder
• Welder (First Class)
• Fitter
• Joiner
• Painting Trades Worker
• Glazier
• Fibrous Plasterer
• Solid Plasterer
• Wall and Floor Tiler
• Plumber (General)
• Airconditioning & Mechanical Services Plumber
• Gasfitter
• Electronic Instrument Trades Worker (Special Class)
• Horse Trainer
• Cabinetmaker
• Boat Builder and Repairer
• Shipwright
• Tennis Coach
• Footballer
Tier 4 – Oversupplied Occupations (0.5% Multiplier)
• Occupations where Australia reportedly has a large existing workforce or high visa volumes fall here.
• The invitation numbers may be very low.
• These occupations are considered to have the lowest probability of receiving a 189 invitation under this model.
• Occupation
• Accountant
• Management Accountant
• Taxation Accountant
• External Auditor
• Multimedia Specialist
• Analyst Programmer
• Developer Programmer
• ICT Security Specialist
• Computer Network & Systems Engineer
• Telecommunications Engineer