Скачать или смотреть IRDR Master's Taster Lecture: Analytical Hierarchy Process, Joanna Faure Walker

As part of the 2021 UCL IRDR Master's Taster Lecture series, Associate Professor Joanna Faure Walker provides an introduction to Analytical Hierarchy Process. Quantitative risk assessment allows a probabilistic approach to informed decision-making. Some probabilities and choices can be calculated quantitatively using scientific theory, evidence from previous events and scientific or engineering experimentation. However, some quantities cannot be calculated with such approaches as the preference or likelihood may be subjective and instead we need to employ expert opinion. There are various methods available to determine relative scales or likelihoods either looking at an individual's or a group's overall opinion. One such method is the analytical hierarchy process. In this taster lecture, Associate Professor Joanna Faure Walker explains the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and how it can be adopted in the case of making a qualitative judgement regarding the relative importance of different factors in decision-making. She uses the example of investigating the relative suitability of different school buildings as evacuation shelters in the event of a disaster.

For further information see Tsioulou, A; Faure Walker, J; Lo, DS; Yore, R; (2020) A method for determining the suitability of schools as evacuation shelters and aid distribution hubs following disasters: case study from Cagayan de Oro, Philippines. Natural Hazards (https://link.springer.com/article/10....)

The online taster lecture series runs during the summer and is open to everyone, although lectures are aimed primarily at anyone thinking about applying for one of our postgraduate programmes.

At UCL IRDR, we offer masters programmes with taught and research components which aim to meet the growing need for experts trained to analyse and provide solutions to complex issues. In all our Masters programmes, students explore the characterisation, quantification, management and reduction of risk and disasters, along with their associated impacts, from a diverse range of scientific, technical, socio-economic, political, environmental, ethical and cultural perspectives.

Find out more on the IRDR website: https://www.ucl.ac.uk/risk-disaster-r...