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NFL Week 1 Running Back Props: Tank Bigsby and Bucky Irving Ready to Deliver

The new NFL season is here, and Week 1 player props are already generating buzz. Analysts Munaf Manji and SleepyJ broke down the running back market, spotlighting two emerging backs: Tank Bigsby (Jaguars) and Bucky Irving (Buccaneers).

[Munaf Manji, 0:00 – 0:04] — Shifting Focus

“Let's move to the running back Prop here for week one sleepy. Where are you taking us?”

With that, the conversation turned to undervalued rushing props.

[SleepyJ, 0:05 – 2:12] — Tank Bigsby Over 43.5 Rushing Yards

SleepyJ’s pick was clear:

“I'm gonna go with Jaguars running back Tank Bigsby… over his rushing yards of 43 and a half. I think this is the year where ETN finally takes the backseat.”

He noted Bigsby already earned meaningful touches last year and was close to Travis Etienne in total opportunities.

“Bigsby… still got you know maybe a dozen or so more [carries] ETN had but it wasn't like he completely out touched Bigsby.”

Bigsby has extra motivation in 2024:

“This is his chance to be a number one running back in this league… I think he's gonna run smart, he's gonna run tough this entire year.”

The only concern is Jacksonville’s line:

“The only thing that worries me… the Jaguars offensive line is not very good.”

Still, the matchup looks favorable. The Panthers allowed nearly 180 rushing yards per game last year, the worst in the league. SleepyJ concluded:

“I think Bigsby’s gonna take the keys there, especially in game one at home… that’s gonna get him over the 43 and a half rushing yards.”



[Munaf Manji, 2:12 – 6:11] — Backing Bigsby & Bucky Irving’s Big-Play Potential

Manji backed up Bigsby with stats:

“He was the rushing yards leader for this Jacksonville Jaguars team at 766 yards on 168 carries in 16 games… 4.6 yards per carry. Compare that to Travis Etienne at 3.7 yards only.”

With the Panthers’ run defense giving up 180 rushing yards per game, he called Bigsby a “buy-low” opportunity, expecting lines to rise if he hits 50–70 yards in Week 1.

Manji then pivoted to Tampa Bay’s rookie Bucky Irving, targeting his longest rush over 15.5 yards:

“I think it's gonna be clear-cut that he's gonna be the number one guy in that backfield.”

Backing his call with 2023 stats, he noted Irving had 207 carries for 1,122 yards (5.4 YPC) and broke off a run of 16+ yards in six of eight games after the bye, including a 54-yarder in the playoff loss to Washington. With Jalen McMillan and Chris Godwin out, Munaf expects the Bucs to lean on Irving for 17–20 carries in Week 1.

[SleepyJ, 6:11 – 6:53] — Don’t Count Out Rachaad White

SleepyJ agreed with Irving’s upside but gave credit to White:

“I'm not against your guy. But I'm also not against Rachaad White… I was betting him before he hit his pinnacle, so I made money with Rashaad White.”

Still, he believes the backfield will belong to Irving, comparing White to Raheem Mostert in a supporting role:

“I actually think this is going to look similar… this is gonna be Bucky Irving's offense.”

[Munaf Manji, 6:53 – 7:14] — Final Picks

Manji summed it up:

“Sleepy is going with Tank Bigsby… over 43 and a half rushing yards, and I am taking Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Bucky Irving longest rush attempt over 15 and a half yards.”

Key Takeaways

Tank Bigsby (Jaguars): Over 43.5 rushing yards is the play. He posted 766 yards on 168 carries (4.6 YPC) last season, outpacing Etienne’s 3.7 YPC, and faces a Panthers defense that allowed 180 rushing yards per game in 2023.

Bucky Irving (Buccaneers): Longest rush over 15.5 yards. With 1,122 rushing yards at 5.4 YPC last year and explosive runs of 25, 34, 43, and 54 yards, he’s poised for big gains, especially with Tampa’s receiving corps banged up.

Rachaad White: Still dangerous, but both experts believe Irving is ready to take over as RB1.

Final Word: Week 1 presents strong value on two running backs ready to seize bigger roles. Backing Bigsby over 43.5 rushing yards and Irving longest rush over 15.5 yards could pay off before sportsbooks adjust to their rising stock.

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