Скачать или смотреть Late-Cycle Crossroads: AI Boom vs Policy Risks | Risk Sentiment Daily 2025-12-30

This daily market update looks at global risk sentiment through the lens of multi-asset investing and portfolio management. We focus on how AI-driven capex, bank strength, and emerging markets interact with policy uncertainty, valuations, and geopolitics in today’s cross-asset outlook.

We break down the key bullish and bearish forces shaping risk appetite, from the data center and semiconductor buildout to Fed terminal rate debates, bubble concerns, and mounting geopolitical and policy shocks. The goal is to help investors frame late-cycle trade-offs, not to provide investment advice.

Key takeaways:
Why overall risk sentiment looks late-cycle and two-way despite resilient growth data.
How Fed path uncertainty and higher-for-longer yields are colliding with lofty equity and metals valuations.
Where AI and data center investment is supporting growth across semis, infrastructure, utilities, and commodities.
Why bank strength and broader market breadth matter for interpreting cyclicality and credit risk.
How a global easing backdrop is bolstering emerging markets and commodities, even as geopolitics and policy events threaten volatility spikes.
What to watch next across inflation data, policy deadlines, and AI-capex execution.

This video is for information only and is not investment advice.

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Chapters:
00:00 Today’s risk sentiment and key risk drivers
00:31 Overall risk sentiment: late-cycle and two-way
02:44 Fed path uncertainty and higher yields
04:53 Elevated valuations and bubble risks
07:15 Geopolitical and policy shock risks
09:38 AI and data center capex boom
11:56 Broadening rally in banks and cyclicals
14:07 Global easing boosts EM and commodities
16:28 Key Takeaways