Why Chandrababu Naidu Will Exit NDA Government | WHAT DOES THIS DATA SAY | EPISODE 164

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Why Chandrababu Naidu Will Exit NDA Government | WHAT DOES THIS DATA SAY | EPISODE 164

In 2018, when Chandrababu Naidu parted ways with the NDA or rather with Modi, he was furious of several things. However the most contentious issue remained that of giving special status to Andhra Pradesh.

Naidu had been furious with the center for not granting special category status to Andhra Pradesh as promised after Telangana was carved out of it in 2014. Special status will mean a large infusion of central funds to help with the state government's plans to develop its new capital Amravati.

Though political equations have changed drastically, Modi is going to find it extremely difficult to give in to this demand. No only would it mean that Modi has to overturn his own decision of 2014 not to support Andhra Pradesh, but the financial situation of the country remains precarious. In short, there are no funds.

The 1999 Lok Sabha elections followed the collapse of an NDA government led by Atal Bihari Vajpayee in 13 months. This government, which included the TDP and JD(U), fell after it was defeated in a vote-of-confidence by just one vote.

In the 1999 Lok Sabha elections, the BJP got 182 seats on its own. The TDP was then, too, the second biggest party in the NDA, with 29 seats, followed closely by the JD(U) at 21. The TDP-BJP alliance also paid dividends for the BJP in Andhra, leading to seven Lok Sabha seats for the party from the state.

In his book Divided we Govern, Coalition Politics in India, political scientist Sanjay Ruparelia writes “that the TDP maintained a formal political neutrality vis-à-vis the BJP, in exchange for retaining dominance in Andhra Pradesh.”

However, Naidu also ensured his way on several issues.

“The BJP moderated its agenda at the behest of its newfound allies. Reportedly, the TDP warned the BJP that it would withdraw parliamentary support if the latter ‘passed any policies that harmed minorities’ or undermined the ‘secular fabric’ of the country,” writes Ruparelia.

In August 2000, Naidu accused the 11th Finance Commission of “encouraging fiscal profligacy by rewarding high population-low economic growth states like Bihar and Uttar Pradesh as well as Assam and West Bengal, while penalizing the low population-high economic growth performance of Gujarat, Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu.,” writes Ruparelia.

Things came to a head, though, after the 2002 Godhra riots in Gujarat, which then had a government led by Narendra Modi.

In April 2002, Naidu demanded the resignation of Modi. This was backed by other NDA partners such as the Trinamool Congress, Lok Jan Shakti Party (LJP) and JD(U) – the latter two are also current partners of the NDA. All four parties boycotted a subsequent meeting called by the NDA central committee.

Looking at Naidu’s history with the NDA, it is doubtful that this relationship will last long.

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