Скачать или смотреть Trump’s Venezuela Raid: Oil, Power & a New ‘Sphere of Influence’ - Richard Atwood (ICG)

International Crisis Group Executive VP Richard Atwood breaks down Trump’s “extraordinary” decapitation raid that seized Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro without toppling the Chavista regime behind him. He explains how a single US operation, backed by a flotilla in the Caribbean and control over Venezuela’s oil exports, has turned Caracas into a testing ground for Trump’s 2026 “sphere of influence” doctrine in the Western Hemisphere.

Atwood unpacks four big questions: Can Washington really force Delcy Rodríguez’s government to deliver oil and distance itself from Cuba, Russia and China? Will Secretary of State Marco Rubio push for a genuine transition that includes the opposition? What happens if Trump doesn’t get what he wants another raid or a dirty compromise? And can any of this be squared with the UN Charter and Latin America’s obsession with sovereignty?

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