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President William Ruto and the United Democratic Alliance (Kenya Kwanza) face declining popularity and are recalibrating their campaign strategies, including a push into Mt. Kenya and Western Kenya to woo strongholds.The informal Broad‑Based Government (BBG) alliance with ODM and Raila Odinga sparked internal tensions. The Farmers Party issued notice to exit the coalition in April 2025, calling it a betrayal to constituent parties.A TIFA survey (May 2025) shows only 23% expect Raila to back Ruto in 2027—28% anticipate his return to the opposition, 18% foresee support for another candidate, 14% expect retirement, and 16% are undecided

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