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USDCHF BREAKDOWN ALERT:
Decade-long support shattered – here’s why this could be the start of a major move to 0.70 and below!

The USD/CHF pair is setting up for a potentially significant breakdown after breaching decade-long support levels since May. Both fundamental and technical factors are aligning for Swiss franc strength, creating what could be a rare high-probability trading opportunity.

Key Drivers:

Fed Dovish Pivot:
Powell’s Tuesday signal acknowledged downside risks to the job market, with a 97% probability of an October rate cut and two more by December fully priced in.

Swiss Franc Strength:
The CHF has strengthened nearly 9% over the past 12 months, now testing the 0.78 level, while Trump’s tariff escalation forces Switzerland to slash GDP forecasts.

Technical Breakdown:
Multiple analytical methods - range breakouts, Fibonacci projections, and triangle pattern analysis - all point to targets around 0.7417–0.6840, representing potential moves to levels not seen since 2011.

SNB Constraints:
The Swiss National Bank cannot intervene in forex markets while trade talks are ongoing, meaning the franc is likely to stay strong by default, supported by stable inflation data.

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