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🌍 Global Population Growth: A Closer Look

The world is on track to reach 9 billion people by 2037, according to the UN's 2024 World Population Prospects. While overall growth is slowing, specific countries are contributing significantly to this increase.

• Top Contributors to the Next Billion:

1. 🇮🇳 India – Leading with 17.5% of the projected growth, India is set to become the most populous country, surpassing China.

2. 🇳🇬 Nigeria – Contributing 7.6%, Nigeria's youthful population drives its rapid growth.

3. 🇵🇰 Pakistan – At 6.8%, Pakistan's expanding population presents both opportunities and challenges.

4. 🇨🇩 DR Congo – With 5.8%, the DRC's growth is notable amidst its developmental strides.

5. 🇪🇹 Ethiopia – Accounting for 5.3%, Ethiopia's population surge reflects broader trends in Sub-Saharan Africa.

6. 🇹🇿 Tanzania – Contributing 3.3%, Tanzania's growth underscores the region's demographic momentum.

7. 🇧🇩 Bangladesh – At 2.9%, Bangladesh's population continues to rise despite limited land resources.

8. 🇮🇩 Indonesia – Also at 2.9%, Indonesia remains a key player in Southeast Asia's demographic landscape.

9. 🇪🇬 Egypt – With 2.8%, Egypt's growth is significant in the North African context.

10. 🇺🇸 USA – Contributing 2.5%, the U.S. remains the only high-income country in the top ten, with immigration playing a pivotal role.


• Understanding the Numbers:

Each 1% equates to 10 million people. Combined, these ten countries account for over 60% of the next billion in global population growth.


★ Why Isn't China on the List?

Despite being the world's second-most populous country, China is notably absent from the list of top contributors to the next billion in global population growth. Here's why:

1. Population Decline: China's population has been decreasing since 2022. In 2024 alone, it dropped by approximately 1.39 million people.

2. Low Fertility Rates: The country's fertility rate stands at around 1.0, significantly below the replacement level of 2.1.

3. Aging Population: By 2035, it's projected that 30% of China's population will be over 60 years old.

4. Urbanization and Economic Pressures: Rapid urbanization, high living costs, and changing societal norms have led to fewer births.


(These factors contribute to China's reduced role in future global population growth, highlighting the complex interplay between policy, economy, and demographics.)

★ Implications:

This demographic shift brings both opportunities and challenges:

1. Economic Growth: A larger workforce can boost economies, especially in developing nations.

2. Urbanization: Rapid population growth may strain infrastructure and resources in urban areas.

3. Healthcare & Education: Increased demand for services necessitates substantial investment.

4. Environmental Impact: More people can lead to greater environmental pressures if not managed sustainably.

Source: UN World Population Prospects 2024

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