Скачать или смотреть "Massive Gold Weekly Analysis! This Changes Gold & Silver Prices FOREVER" - Andrew Maguire

"Massive Gold Weekly Analysis! This Changes Gold & Silver Prices FOREVER" - Andrew Maguire

At the start of January trading in 2024, Goldman Sachs postponed its $3,000 gold price projection to 2026. Their reasoning was based on synthetic market expectations, suggesting that rising dollar and bond yields, possibly due to diluted rate cut expectations, would limit gold's short-term rise. However, market activity reveals that Goldman is heavily invested in physical gold and silver for its holdings.
Andrew Maguire, a well-known precious metals trader, explains that gold lease rates have spiked to levels last seen in 2002 when physical shortages drove significant rallies in gold and silver prices. Unlike paper assets, bullion cannot be printed, so prices must rise to incentivize enough supply to restore market balance. This dynamic, combined with growing demand from central banks, sovereigns, and pension funds seeking physical gold for zero counterparty risk, widens the gap between paper and physical markets. The increasing preference for physically settled global exchanges over cash-settled systems like LBMA and COMEX highlights this divergence.
Andrew highlights. Traditional analysts relying on the historical dollar and bond correlations overlook the growing influence of physical markets. Rising bond yields, unsustainable debt levels, and geopolitical shifts like Trump's tariffs accelerate diversification away from Western financial systems. With liquid physical exchanges now driving price discovery, the constraints of legacy markets are breaking down, signaling a transformative shift in how gold and silver prices are determined globally.
Andrew also exposes that silver, as a monetary metal, trades as an FX cross against the dollar, with U.S. regional silver prices showing premiums to spot. This dynamic tightens global supply, draining cheaper London benchmarks. Short selling futures to buy spot is increasingly risky as silver's free float nears critical thresholds. Proposed 25% tariffs on silver imports from Mexico and Canada, key U.S. suppliers, have driven a spread of up to $1.30 between spot and March futures, with the current contango spread at around $0.70. These tariffs and supply constraints threaten to exacerbate market imbalances.
Andrew points out that Momentum-driven COMEX traders holding 75% of open interest have been short-selling March futures, betting on spread normalization. However, rising spreads could force shorts to unwind, risking spiraling prices. Former JP Morgan director Robert Gotle warns that unhedged U.S.-centric shorts, including Federal Reserve-linked derivative bets, face significant losses. If tariffs are imposed as London stocks dry up, a $3 premium at $30 spot could breach longstanding resistance at $32, triggering a more significant short squeeze and amplifying market volatility.

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