$95 TO $127 IN 24 HOURS: UAE Silver Explosion Exposes COMEX as "Open Fraud"
Between December 30-31, 2025, United Arab Emirates physical silver markets experienced a 34% single-day price increase from $95 to $127.45 per ounce while COMEX futures remained quoted at $71. This report examines the structural implications of this unprecedented divergence and emerging global supply constraints.
Key Price Data (January 3, 2026):
UAE physical silver: $127.45/oz (79% premium over COMEX)
Tokyo physical market: ~$130/oz
Kuwait institutional purchases: $106/oz
Seoul forward contracts: $97/oz
U.S. retail (Walmart): $87-89/oz
COMEX futures benchmark: $71/oz
Supply Chain Indicators:
Monument Metals reported zero inventory across all silver bar categories December 31st. Major dealers including APMEX, JM Bullion implementing purchase limits and extended delivery timelines (4-6 weeks vs. historical 48-hour fulfillment). COMEX registered inventory: 38M oz against 200M oz open interest (5.2:1 leverage ratio).
Context:
China's January 1, 2026 export licensing requirements (80-ton production minimum, $30M credit lines) restrict 60-70% of global refined silver processing capacity, redirecting industrial demand to remaining physical markets.
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The AG Finance provides educational and informational content only. Nothing presented on this channel constitutes financial, investment, trading, or legal advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial professional before making any investment decisions. Markets involve risk — only invest what you can afford to lose.
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