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Chart Analysis Summary
Current Status (as of 15-Dec-2025)
NEPSE Index: 2601.61

Change: +6.74 (+0.26%)

SuperTrend (10,3): 2572.70 (currently bullish since price is above the SuperTrend line)

Previous levels: High ~2602.89, Low ~2587.23

Key Observations
Trend Direction:

Price is above the SuperTrend line (2572.70 → bullish signal).

The index is trading near the day's high (2602.89), showing short-term strength.

Chart Pattern (from visual):

The chart shows a clear uptrend from around 2400 in early 2025 to ~3000 by mid-2025.

Followed by a sharp decline to ~2550 in late 2025.

Currently consolidating around 2600, with recent attempts to move higher.

Support & Resistance:

Immediate Support: 2572.70 (SuperTrend level) & 2550 (recent low).

Immediate Resistance: 2650–2700 (previous swing low area).

Major Resistance: 2800–2850 (mid-2025 base).

Market Direction Probability
Scenario Probability Reasoning
Bullish (Up) 60% Price above SuperTrend, recent green close, consolidation near support with upward momentum.
Neutral/Sideways 30% Trading in range 2570–2650; indecision after a sharp decline.
Bearish (Down) 10% Only if breaks below 2550 (key support), else bullish structure intact.
Recommendation
Short-term (1–2 weeks): Mild bullish bias, target 2650–2700 if holds above 2570.

Watch for break below 2550 to reconsider bullish view.

Volume confirmation needed for stronger up-move beyond 2650.

Disclaimer: This is technical analysis based on limited data. Always consider fundamental factors, news, and market sentiment before trading.