Скачать или смотреть Recession or Recovery? Breaking Down Economic Trends Heading into Q3 and Q4 2025

Is the economy stabilizing or slipping? This economic webinar breaks down Q2 summer stats and what we can expect to see for the rest of 2025:

📉 Recession risk and consumer confidence
📍 Arizona’s employment trends
🏥 Healthcare sector growth
📉 Real estate slowdown
💡 What small businesses should watch in Q3

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As unemployment rises across both Arizona and the United States (U.S.), Arizona’s job market is facing added pressure amid a broader slowdown. While sectors like professional and business services struggle, health care continues to stand out as a key source of resilience, helping sustain overall employment growth in the state.

Hosted by National Bank of Arizona, our Economic and Market Webinar features Brian Gordon, CPA and principal at Applied Analysis. Brian gives data and commentary on the Arizona job market with a focus on tourism and hospitality.

National Bank of Arizona is a community and relationship focused bank. We work with businesses of all sizes and demonstrate our Arizona business savvy approach through discussions and market insights.

Download the brief and slides: https://www.nbarizona.com/personal/co...

See how National Bank of Arizona can help your business: https://www.nbarizona.com/business/

Let us help you meet your goals: https://www.nbarizona.com/personal

Time Stamps:
00:00 - Recession Predictions & Economic Sentiment
01:32 - Arizona's GDP Performance & Growth Trends
02:18 - National vs. State-Level Economic Comparison
03:05 - Trade Policy Impact on GDP
04:31 - Labor Market Overview: National & Arizona
05:18 - Labor Force Participation & Growth
06:16 - Prime Age Workforce Trends
07:27 - Unemployment Rates & Sector Breakdown
08:14 - Unemployment Claims & Trends
09:30 - College Grads vs. Young Worker Unemployment
10:41 - Generational Shifts in Career Choices
11:31 - Job Openings vs. Unemployed Workers
12:26 - Arizona’s Tight Labor Market
13:46 - Arizona Employment Growth Overview
14:58 - Arizona’s Decade of Job Growth
15:37 - Sector Spotlight: Education & Health Services
16:15 - Health Care Driving Job Growth
17:07 - Workforce Adequacy Challenges in Health Care
18:15 - Health Care Shortages by County
19:21 - Manufacturing Sector Trends
20:08 - National vs. Arizona Manufacturing Shifts
21:15 - Investment & Job Announcements in Arizona
22:50 - Wage Growth in Key Sectors
24:00 - Hiring vs. Job Openings in Finance
25:09 - Information Sector Employment Decline
26:01 - AI’s Impact on Jobs & Workforce Shifts
27:46 - Construction Sector Trends in Arizona
28:34 - Residential vs. Commercial Construction
29:18 - Builder Sentiment & Labor Shortages
30:29 - Immigration’s Role in Construction Labor
31:13 - Employment Index & Recession Signals
32:09 - Recession Probability & Economic Volatility